MLB Weather Report for Thursday, November 3 (What's the Forecast for World Series Game 5?)
By Ben Heisler
After being shut out 7-0 in Philadelphia in Game 3 of the World Series, the Houston Astros weren't going to lay down and roll over.
Instead, they returned the favor to the Phillies in Game 4, led by six no-hit innings by starter Cristian Javier in a 5-0 combined no-hitter to even the series 2-2.
This will be the 65th time that a best-of-seven series has been tied 2-2 after four games. Guess how many times the team that won Game 5 won the series? How about 45 times!
The weather forecast looks clear and calm, but with Houston playing all but two home games under a closed roof, can we find any sort of advantage when they play in outdoor conditions?
Let's take a look at tonight's forecast from Citizens Bank Park, along with the latest odds, run line and total for Game 5.
Astros vs. Phillies Weather for World Series Game 5
FORECAST: 59 degrees and clear skies at first pitch. Humidity levels rising throughout the game, approaching 72% at first pitch, reaching into the 90% range by 11 p.m. ET. Wind blowing out to left field at 3-4 mph.
How Will Weather Impact the World Series Game 5 Matchup?
If you checked out our World Series Game 5 pitching matchup, you'll see that Justin Verlander has had his struggles both this postseason, as well as in the World Series in general. Verlander is 0-6 lifetime in the World Series with a 6.07 ERA with nine home runs allowed. Via CBS Sports, that's the most losses without a win in World Series history.
While the numbers at least this postseason indicate some positive regression potentially on the way, it's also worth noting how Verlander has pitched indoors vs. outdoors this season.
With the roof closed, Verlander owns a 1.30 ERA this year in 16 starts, allowing just two home runs all season in 97 innings. With the roof open / outdoor stadium, Verlander's ERA goes up a full run to 2.30, with 10 home runs allowed in 78 innings this year for a HR/9 of 1.2. Ultimately, the 39-year old right-hander still owns excellent numbers, but nowhere near the dominant level of with the stadium roof closed.
As for Syndergaard, the bulk of his starts this year have come in outdoor stadiums, pitching to a 3.59 ERA in 22 starts and 123 innings. His Fielding Independent Pitching, or FIP of 3.60 is nearly identical to his ERA.
For more Game 5 betting coverage, picks and analysis, as well as our favorite World Series Game 5 prop bets and anytime home run picks, check out our "MLB Expert Picks and Predictions" page as we update throughout the day!
Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.