The Arizona Cardinals look for just their second win of the season in their home building tonight when they welcome the New England Patriots to town.
The Cardinals have lost four of five games since their one victory at home, ironically another primetime matchup against the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football.
Here's the latest set of odds for tonight's matchup out in Glendale.
BetSided's Donnavan Smoot gave out his betting pick for Monday Night Football earlier in the week, plus you can also find my three favorite props for tonight's matchup here.
However, we have yet to specifically touch on some of tonight's best value options available to find themselves into the end zone for six.
In the interest of complete transparency, I project Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson to be by far and away the most likely player on the field to score an anytime touchdown. However, so does Vegas; placing his odds at -150 or higher at several sportsbooks.
The following three options below are players I believe offer very good value relative to their opportunity tonight.
Best Anytime Touchdown Scorer Picks for Patriots vs. Cardinals
- DeVante Parker (+225)
- Kyler Murray (+300)
- Hunter Henry (+330)
Parker is one of my favorite plays to torch a Cardinals defense that's amongst the worst in the league in opponent completion percentage (31st), as well as opponent points-per-game (31st) and points-per-play (31st).
The Cardinals are also the worst red zone scoring defense in the league, giving up touchdowns on just under 69% of red zone possessions.
With Jakobi Meyers out, look for Parker to play the alpha role at the wide receiver spot, and take advantage of mismatches on the outside, especially with his size and athleticism to go up and make a play.
The Patriots are excellent vs. the run in the red zone, ranking first in the NFL in opponent rushing touchdowns per game.
However, that doesn't always apply to quarterbacks, where New England has struggled to contain mobile QBs over the course of the year. After allowing more than 100 yards on the ground to Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3, Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields smoked them for more than 80 to go along with a score four weeks later.
New England, for all of their success stopping the run, actually ranks eighth-worst in the NFL in rushing yards allowed to quarterbacks, so look for Murray to take off if there's an opening fairly frequently.
If there wasn't an opportunity to wager and make money off of it, it would be disturbing to see the numbers Arizona has allowed to tight ends all year long.
The Cardinals rank dead-last in the NFL in all the following stats vs. the position: receiving targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns.
Henry always gets targeted in the red zone, and while he missed on both of his two in the games vs. Buffalo and Minnesota, he still found his way in for six outside the 20-yard line, so his ability to catch and run remains a strong component to his game.
With Arizona's chances to stop tight ends as futile, back Henry as a trustworthy option at very good odds for the matchup.
Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.