Morehead State vs. Murray State Prediction and Odds (Bet Morehead State in OVC Championship)

Mar 22, 2021; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; General view of the March madness logo during the game
Mar 22, 2021; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; General view of the March madness logo during the game / Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
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The Ohio Valley Conference Championship is set for Saturday with a big rematch.

OVC conference powerhouse Murray State is set to face Morehead State. The Eagles nearly beat Murray State at home on February 12 and have proven they can hang with the Racers more so than any team in the conference.

Can they hand Murray State their first loss in OVC play? We are sure to find out on Saturday night, let's get you ready for it:

Odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook:

Morehead State vs. Murray State Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Morehead State: +7.5 (-110)
  • Murray State: -7.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Morehead State: +265
  • Murray State: -330

Total: 130 (Over -110/Under -110)

Morehead State vs. Murray State Prediction and Pick

I like the Eagles to hang around in this game. They have been the best threat to dethroning the Racers and I think their interior defense can hold up against Murray State's dribble drive offense.

Big man Johni Broome is top five in the country in block percentage and will have his hands full with KJ Williams, but I believe that he can win the battle on the inside and keep this game within a few possessions.

The key for Morehead will be to limit live ball turnovers. The team is outside the top 300 in turnover rate and can't let the Racers get out in transition. The No. 1 seed is 41st in turnover rate so protecting the ball is critical.

I also believe that the Eagles will get their preferred offense. Murray State allows a high 3-point rate, 41% on the year, and the Eagles are more than capable from deep, second in conference play from 3-point range.

It may not be pretty, but Morehead State nearly beat Murray State a few weeks back, losing by 4 in a game that they arguably should've won. I think they are live once again.

PICK: Morehead State +7.5

All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 85-79-3 for +1.35 units.