Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds, Picks, Predictions, Top Competitors, Start Time

Joey Chestnut will look to defend his title at the 2022 hot dog eating contest.
Joey Chestnut will look to defend his title at the 2022 hot dog eating contest. / Steven Ferdman/GettyImages

Get ready for one of the greatest events of the year!

The annual Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest will take place, once again, on July 4. As if mowing down hot dogs on Independence Day wasn't American enough, now you can also gamble on it! From who the winner will be, to how many hot dogs they'll eat, there's plenty of options to wager on this year's hot dog extravaganza.

Here is everything you need to know to bet on this year's event. The odds listed below are consensus.

When is Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest?

When: Monday, July 4, 2022
Start time: 11 a.m. EST
Where: Coney Island, Brooklyn, New York

Odds to Win Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest

Odds to Win Men's Competition:

  • Joey Chestnut -3000
  • Geoffrey Esper +800
  • Nick Wehry +1200
  • Darron Breeden +1400
  • Gideon Oji +2200

Odds to Win Women's Competition:

  • Miki Sudo -5000
  • Michelle Lesco +1000
  • Other +700

Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Joey Chestnut:

  • OVER 74.5 (-135)
  • UNDER 74.5 (+105)

Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Miki Sudo:

  • OVER 49.5 (-115)
  • UNDER 49.5 (-115)

Don't Bet Against Joey Chestnut

Tiger Woods, Michael Jordan, Wayne Gretzky, Tom Brady, Joey Chestnut. The all-time greats in North American athletics.

Chestnut is the 14-time hot dog eating champion. He won it from 2007-2014, and then again from 2015-2021. The only year he didn't win, was in 2015 when he fell to Matt Stonie after having a subpar performance, only consuming 60 weiners.

Miki Sudo vs. Michelle Lusco

Much like Chestnut's step back in 2015, Miki Sudo suffered a similar fate in the women's competition last year. She won every year from 2014-2020, but there was a new champion crowned in 2021 when Michelle Lusco took the crown.

Unlike Chestnut, Sudo didn't technically lose, as she sat out of the competition due to the birth of her child. She's back in 2022 in an attempt to reclaim the women's championship belt.

Both Sudo and Chestnut are overwhelming favorites, so if you're going to bet on this event, I'd recommend looking at the over/under hot dogs consumed.

Best Bet for 2022 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest

The total set for Joey Chestnut this year is set at 74.5. He went over this total the last two years, but consumed only 71 back in 2019. With that being said, betting on the under is frankly un-American.

Chestnut set a new World Record in 2021, downing 76 dogs. I'll admit that I don't know what's considered "past your prime" in the competitive eating world, but Chestnut clearly isn't slowing down anytime soon.


Pick: Chestnut OVER 74.5 Hot Dogs (-135)

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.