March Madness

National Championship Betting Trends: UNC, Kansas Both Covering Spread at Elite Rate

Peter Dewey
Kansas guards Dajuan Harris Jr. and Ochai Agbaji.
Kansas guards Dajuan Harris Jr. and Ochai Agbaji. / Jamie Squire/GettyImages
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It may be April, but we've still got one game left for all the marbles in March Madness.

The No. 1 seeded Kansas Jayhawks are four-point favorites on Monday night against the No. 8 North Carolina Tar Heels in the National Championship.

Both of these teams are entering this game playing some of their best basketball of the 2021-22 season, but who has the edge from a betting perspective?

This game can be a nightmare for bettors, since it is expected to be so close, but earlier today I broke down an interesting against the spread trend for both of these programs in their last five appearance in the national title game.

When betting this game at WynnBET Sportsbook, there are several things to look at, but the current form of these two teams may be the most important thing. UNC has rebounded from a slow start to the season to play its best ball in March, while the Jayhawks rolled through the Midwest region on their way to the Final Four.

Our own Brian Giuffra found some interesting trends surrounding this two teams when it relates to their ATS records. The Tar Heels have covered in nine of their last 10 games, including five straight as an underdog, while Kansas has covered in seven of its last 10 matchups.

I am leaning towards betting on the Tar Heels in this matchup, as I think this game is going to be down to the wire and inside four points on either side.

North Carolina has shown it can hit big shot after big shot, especially Caleb Love, while the Jayhawks went an insane 13-for-24 from 3-point range to advance to this game.

Both of these teams are hot, which doesn't make this any easier, but there may be value in backing a Heels team that has thrived as an underdog as of late.


Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

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