Nationals vs. Mets Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, May 31 (Can Patrick Corbin Turns Things Around?)

The Nationals head to Citi Field to take on the Mets on Tuesday night.
The Nationals head to Citi Field to take on the Mets on Tuesday night. / John Fisher/GettyImages
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The Mets crushed the National by a final score of 13-5 in the opening game of their three-game series on Monday night. The two teams will now face-off for a second time tonight, as New York tries to further extend its lead on the NL East.

Patrick Corbin (6.30 ERA) will try to start to turn his season around tonight. He'll face-off against Mets righty Trevor Williams (4.37 ERA).

Let's take a look at the odds via WynnBET for tonight's NL East showdown.

Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line:

  • Nationals +1.5 (-135)
  • Mets -1.5 (+112)

Moneyline:

  • Nationals +163
  • Mets -178

Total:

  • 9 (Over -115/Under -105)

Nationals vs. Mets Betting Trends

  • The OVER is 4-1 in the Nationals' last five games.
  • Mets are 6-2 in last eight games vs. Nationals.
  • Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 road games.
  • The OVER is 7-0 in the Mets last seven games.
  • Mets are 5-0 in last five games vs. NL East opponents.

Nationals vs. Mets Prediction and Pick

What has been going on with Patrick Corbin? His ERA has been progressively worse since 2019, and now it's sitting at an ugly 6.30 in 2022. He's allowed at least three runs in four of his last five starts, and he's allowed five or more runs four times already this season.

If there's one thing he can take comfort in today, it's that the Mets have struggled against lefties all season, ranking 18th at .681. If there's ever been a time for him to start to get some momentum, it's today.

Speaking of offense, the Nationals rank sixth in OPS against righties in the month of May, so Trevor Williams better mind his manners against them tonight. The Mets will try to get as much out of him as possible with their injured bullpen.

Between a banged up bullpen and the Mets struggles against lefties, I'm going to back the Nationals to pull off the upset in New York tonight.

Pick: Nationals +163


You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.