Nationals vs. Rockies Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, May 4 (It's a Good Day to Fade Patrick Corbin)

The Rockies lead MLB in OPS against left-handed pitchers and should tee off on Patrick Corbin today
The Rockies lead MLB in OPS against left-handed pitchers and should tee off on Patrick Corbin today / Michael Ciaglo/GettyImages

The 13-10 Colorado Rockies saw a three-game winning streak snapped in a 10-2 loss to Washington yesterday and hope to bounce back as they take on the 9-16 Nationals tonight at 8:40 PM EST.

Patrick Corbin (0-4) will be on the mound for Washington and he's been terrible, giving up 19 runs in 19.1 innings across five starts. He did just have his best start of the season against Miami though, going six innings and surrendering two runs.

Colorado will counter with Austin Gomber (1-2), who has given up only two runs in 12 innings over his last two outings.

Can the Rockies bounce back or will the Nationals finally notch a victory behind Corbin?

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help us evaluate this Nationals vs Rockies matchup:

Nationals vs Rockies Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Nationals +1.5 (-150)
  • Rockies -1.5 (+125)


  • Nationals: +138
  • Rockies: -148


  • 10.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

Nationals vs Rockies Prediction and Pick

I always perk up and know it's going to be a good day when I hear the birds chirping outside, or when I smell that delicious aroma emanating from a fresh pot of coffee. But there's no better sign that it's a good day than when I see Patrick Corbin is slated to pitch.

You see, Mr. Corbin is my favorite pitcher in all of MLB to fade. He was solid early in his career but has been Dreadful (with a capital "D") for the last couple of seasons. Despite his mediocre performances, oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to Corbin's ineptitude. As a result, I've been cashing like crazy when he pitches and today will be no different.

Over his last 20 starts dating back to July of 2021, Corbin has a 4-13 record with a 6.58 ERA. He has a pair of losses to these Rockies in that stretch too, and Colorado is well-positioned to hammer him today.

The Rockies lead MLB in OPS against left-handed pitchers and rank sixth in runs per game. They should have no problem scoring today.

Austin Gomber has been impressive this season, too. He's in the 92nd percentile in hard hit percentage and while his only start at Coors Field was his worst of the campaign, he compiled a 2.07 ERA at home last season so we know he can succeed in the hitter-friendly park.

I'm backing the Rockies on the run line to rebound from yesterday's loss and punish Corbin. You hear those chirps? Smell those freshly roasted beans? It's going to be a good day, indeed.

Pick: Rockies -1.5 (+125)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.