NCAAF Odds

Navy vs. Memphis, Prediction, Odds and Spread for College Football Week 7

Reed Wallach
Oct 9, 2021; Annapolis, Maryland, USA;  Navy Midshipmen fullback Kai Puailoa-Rojas (21) reacts after
Oct 9, 2021; Annapolis, Maryland, USA; Navy Midshipmen fullback Kai Puailoa-Rojas (21) reacts after / Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
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The Memphis Tigers head home after losing three straight games to face the triple option of Navy, who is starting to look more competitive over the last few weeks. 

Can the Tigers get their season back on track as big favorites on Thursday night, or will Navy’s triple option continue their streak of covers? 

Here are the odds for this AAC showdown.

Navy vs. Memphis Odds

Spread

Navy: +10.5 (-110)

Memphis: -10.5 (-110)

Moneyline

Navy: +320

Memphis: -400

Total: 55 (Over -110/Under -110)

Navy vs. Memphis Betting Trends

  • Memphis has failed to cover in four of its last five games
  • Navy has covered in three straight games, all with double digit spreads
  • Memphis has went OVER the total in two straight games

Navy vs. Memphis Prediction

This is a nightmare spot for the Tigers, mainly because they need to prepare for the triple option on a short week. The Tigers defensive line has already struggled this season, ranking 95th in defensive line yards, and allowing opponents to convert on nearly 45% of third down attempts.

Navy may be 1-4 on the season, but the team has been great at staying close to teams such as Houston, UCF, and SMU over the last three weeks. With the ability to grind this game to a halt and run the triple option to success, the Midshipmen are going to keep the Memphis offense on the sidelines. 

That will be key because Navy has struggled against the pass, allowing opponents to complete more than 65% of passes and ranking 91st in defensive success rate. If Navy can find success with their triple option, it will be tough for the home team to create much separation with time consuming drives.

Ultimately, it’s tough to gauge the psyche of the Tigers heading into Week 7. The team has lost three straight, one of which to a lowly Temple team as double digit favorites. Are they going to be amped up for a short week of a triple option offense? I’m not counting on it.

I got a worse number (+8.5 in a game I project Memphis -7, so I see a ton of value on Navy +10.5 in a great situational spot. 

Pick: Navy +10.5 


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