NBA Best Bets Today (Predictions for Kevin Durant, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Pistons-Nets)
By Peter Dewey
March has been a fantastic month for the NBA Best Bets column, going 36-22-1 (+11.8734 units) this month, and we're looking to keep that rolling with three picks on Tuesday night.
I'm eyeing the elite matchup between the Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers for a Giannis Antetokounmpo prop, but there are also two other picks I like tonight.
Let's get into today's picks!
NBA Best Bets Record to Date
- NBA Best Bets Record: 171-161-3 (-4.0996 units)
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record in the NBA this season here.
NBA Best Bets Today
- Detroit Pistons +14 vs. Brooklyn Nets (-110)
- Kevin Durant OVER 27.5 Points (-105)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 41.5 Points and Rebounds (-125)
Detroit Pistons vs. Brooklyn Nets: Pistons +14 (-110)
The Brooklyn Nets are favored by a whopping 14 points at home against the Detroit Pistons on Tuesday, but Brooklyn has covered just four times in 27 tries (4-22-1 ATS) as a home favorite this season.
Kyrie Irving can now play in home games for the Nets, but the team lost by nine to the Charlotte Hornets in his first game at home on Sunday.
This is going to be a big matchup for Cade Cunningham, but I think oddsmakers are overvaluing a Nets team that really has struggled to cover all season long.
The Pistons have struggled to win games this season, but they are 19-17-1 against the spread as away underdogs. I think the Pistons may be the team to back, even with Brooklyn running out both Irving and Kevin Durant.
Kevin Durant OVER 27.5 Points (-105)
I may be backing the Pistons to cover, but that doesn’t mean I’m going to fade Kevin Durant when his points prop is at this low of a number.
Durant has put up over 27.5 points in three of his last five games, and he’s averaging 29.5 points per game on the season.
While Durant has taken a step back scoring at times with Irving in the lineup, he still took 24 shots and scored 27 points (9-for-24) in the loss to Charlotte. If Durant sees that volume again, you can bet on him hitting the over, as he’s shooting 51.9 percent from the field this season.
Giannis Antetokounmpo OVER 41.5 Points and Rebounds (-125)
I’m all over the stars tonight, as Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks take on the Philadelphia 76ers.
Over Giannis’ last 14 games, he has cleared 41.5 rebounds 11 times, and he’s averaging 32.3 points and 12.9 rebounds per game over that stretch.
While the Sixers have Joel Embiid, they are 23rd in the NBA in rebounding percentage this season, and I think Giannis will be able to push for close to 30 points. Rather than taking his points prop at 29.5, I think there is more value in grabbing Antetokounmpo to do what he does best in this game.
On the season, the Buycks star is putting up 29.7 points and 11.6 rebounds per game. He should be around this number no matter what, and with this game deciding who takes the lead in the No. 2 spot in the East, I think Giannis shows out.