NBA Best Bets Today: Predictions for Steph Curry, Fred VanVleet, Spurs and More
By Peter Dewey
There are few things that I look forward to more than an 11-game slate in the NBA, as there are several great matchups to watch on Wednesday night.
In today's editions of NBA Best Bets, we're going point guard heavy, as I have a pair of player prop predictions on two of the league's better point guards. Fred VanVleet is about as hot as anyone in the game right now, while I think tonight is time we buy low on Steph Curry.
Plus, I have a road favorite and a road underdog that I like as well. Let's break down these four picks for Wednesday night.
All odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.
NBA Best Bets Record to Date
- NBA Best Bets Record: 76-85-2
NBA Best Bets Today
- Golden State Warriors -5.5 vs. Dallas Mavericks (-110)
- San Antonio Spurs +8 vs. Boston Celtics (-110)
- Fred VanVleet OVER 21.5 Points (-125)
- Steph Curry OVER 26.5 Points (-130)
Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks: Warriors -5.5 (-110)
Steph Curry and Luka Doncic will face off on Wednesday night, but which preseason MVP candidate will come away with the win?
The Warriors are the second best team in the NBA against the spread (22-12-2), but they are just 5-4-1 against the spread as a road favorite this season.
Kristaps Porzingis won’t play for the Mavericks due to the league’s health and safety protocols, while the Warriors have everyone back from the protocols in this game.
Dallas has played some solid defense this year, ranking No. 10 in defensive rating, but the Warriors are fourth in offensive rating and first in defensive rating this season.
Curry has been slumping as of late, shooting 10-for-27, 6-for-16, 8-for-18 and 3-for-17 in his last four games, but I think this is a spot where he can get back on track.
Dallas plays at the slowest pace in the NBA, but that could spell trouble against a Warriors team that is fifth in the league in scoring and hits the second most 3-pointers per game this season.
Even though they haven’t been great ATS as a road favorite, I’m laying the points with Steph and the Warriors tonight.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Boston Celtics: Spurs +8 (-110)
San Antonio should get Dejounte Murray (health and safety protocols) back in the lineup, which would be a major boost after he missed the past five games.
Murray’s return would be huge for the Spurs in this game, as he’s in the midst of a career year and is one of the leading candidates to win the NBA’s Most Improved Player award.
This Boston team has underachieved so far this season, and it has not been great as a home favorite (6-9 against the spread). San Antonio has failed to cover in three straight games without Murray, but I think there is some value on the Spurs as eight-point underdogs in this game.
The Spurs have really fallen down the offensive and defensive rating rankings over the past five games, so I’m going to buy low on Murray’s impact changing things against a Boston team that is still 22nd in the NBA in offensive rating.
Boston has been favored by more than eight points three times this season, covering in just one of those three games.
I’ll back San Antonio to stay strong as an underdog (14-11 ATS this season) on Wednesday.
Fred VanVleet OVER 21.5 Points (-125)
There are few players in the NBA hotter than Fred VanVleet, and I think the Toront Raptors point guard continues his career year on Wednesday night against the Milwaukee Bucks.
FVV has cleared this number in five straight games, and while there are more mouths to feed in Toronto with Pascal Siakam, OG Anunoby, Gary Trent Jr. and Scottie Barnes all healthy, it has actually helped FVV get some easier looks as of late.
The Bucks are just 17th in the NBA in opponent points per game and are coming off a loss to the Pistons where Saddiq Bey scored 34 points and Josh Jackson scored 24. Until the market corrects on this prop for FVV, I’m taking the over.
Steph Curry OVER 26.5 Points (-130)
Can you say overreaction?
Yes, Steph Curry shot just 3-for-17 in his last game, but WynnBET has moved this prop below his season average of 27.2 points per game.
Despite some shooting struggles, Curry has cleared this number in five of his last seven games and is still hitting 39.3 percent of his shots from deep this season. The Mavericks are far from an elite defense, and I think Curry will bounce back in a big way.
He followed up his last poor shooting performance (7-for-28 on Dec. 4) with a 31-point game the following game. I’ll gladly take the over at this number on Wednesday.