NBA Best Bets Today: Predictions for Warriors, Steph Curry, Knicks-Suns and More

Steph Curry and Damian Lillard face off tonight.
Steph Curry and Damian Lillard face off tonight. / Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

After a day off for Thanksgiving, the NBA is back in action with a 12-game slate on Friday night. 

There are some fantastic matchups on the slate, as Steph Curry and Damian Lillard will face off in Golden State, as well as Trae Young and Ja Morant in Memphis

If Nikola Jokic returns for the Denver Nuggets, we will also get to see him and Giannis Antetokounmpo match up on Friday. Let’s just see this is like an extra dessert after yesterday’s Thanksgiving meal. 

I still have some ground to make up from a rough stretch last week in my NBA Best Bets, so how about a five stack of bets for a loaded slate? 

Ride with me, fade me, do whatever you like, but we can all enjoy one of the best nights in the NBA together. That sound good to y'all?

All odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

NBA Best Bets Record to Date

  • NBA Best Bets Record: 21-31-1 (-11.5875 units)

NBA Best Bets Today

  • New York Knicks vs. Phoenix Suns UNDER 216.0 (-110)
  • Golden State Warriors -5.5 vs. Portland Trail Blazers (-110)
  • Toronto Raptors Moneyline vs. Indiana Pacers (+140)
  • Steph Curry OVER 29.5 Points (-105)
  • Jerami Grant OVER 4.5 Rebounds (+120)

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Phoenix Suns vs. New York Knicks: UNDER 216.0 (-110)

The Knicks have gotten back to playing the elite defense that helped them get the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference last season, but the team’s offense has fallen off after a strong start to the year. 

New York is just 13th in the league in offensive rating after hovering around and in the top five for the first few weeks of the year. Phoenix (third in defensive rating) is going to be a tough test for the Knicks, who actually have been worse at Madison Square Garden (5-5, 4-6 ATS) than on the road this season. 

These two teams are about as opposite as they come in terms of tempo, with the Suns playing at the No. 4 pace in the NBA while New York plays much slower, coming in at No. 25. 

If the Knicks want to stay in this game, and the spread suggests they will, it’s going to be a low-scoring affair. New York has played eight straight games with a total less than 216.0, and I think that comes true again today against a tough Suns defense. 

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors: Warriors -5.5 (-110)

The Warriors host the Portland Trail Blazers and Damian Lillard on Friday who have won four of five. It’s going to be one of the best point guard matchups of the season, but who should we bet in this game?

These two teams should make for an intriguing matchup, but it’s important to look at how these teams have fared at home and on the road this season. 

Golden State is arguably the best home team in the NBA, going 10-1 straight up and 8-2-1 against the spread this season. Portland, on the other hand, has been awful on the road going 1-8 straight up and 1-8 against the spread, losing by an average margin of 10.4 points. 

This doesn’t guarantee a Golden State win, but with the way Curry, Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole are playing at the moment, I’m not going to bet against them at home when they’re facing the NBA’s worst road team. 

Give me the Warriors to cover in this one. 

Toronto Raptors vs. Indiana Pacers: Raptors Moneyline (+140)

The Pacers have been better at home this season at covering the spread, but the Raptors (7-4 ATS) are on the best road teams in the NBA to bet on. 

Toronto is just 9-10 on the season, but I think this line could move even more if OG Anunoby, who has been listed as questionable with a hip injury the past few games, makes his return to the lineup tonight. 

Toronto is also 7-4 straight up on the road, while going just 2-6 at home this season. I like that the Raptors (seventh in offensive rating) play at the league’s third-slowest pace, because it should help them control things in this game. Indiana (22nd in pace) also likes to play slow, and I think that benefits a Toronto team that isn’t great on defense this season (24th in defensive rating). 

I’m going to get bold and take Toronto to upset the Pacers, as I just don’t believe in Indiana at all this season. 

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors: Steph Curry OVER 29.5 Points (-105)

Usually, the over on Steph’s scoring prop is heavily favored, but after a 12-point game against the Toronto Raptors and 25 points against the Philadelphia 76ers, he’s just -105 to score 30 points on Friday. 

Steph has six games of over 30 points on the season, but in those games he’s gone for 36 or more points in all of them, Curry has gone over this number four times in his last eight games, and he’s in a great spot against a horrible Blazers defense on Friday. 

Portland has the third worst defensive rating in the NBA, and WynnBET has the total in this game at 225. Curry is going to have a field day against the Blazers, a team that he dropped 26, 62 and 35 points in his three games against last season.

Detroit Pistons vs. Los Angeles Clippers: Jerami Grant OVER 4.5 Rebounds (+120)

Jerami Grant started the season strong on the glass, but he has come back down to earth, grabbing over 4.5 boards just once in his past six games. 

However, he has been consistent, grabbing four or more boards in each of his last four games, and I think he has a matchup that could lead to a solid rebounding night. The Pistons are the worst team in the league in terms of rebound percentage (47.3 percent), but they face a Los Angeles Clippers team that is 21st in the same statistic and allows 47.1 opponent rebounds per game. 

I like the value at +120 for Grant to go over this number, and with his scoring coming around as of late he should get plenty of minutes if Detroit wants to stay in this game.