NBA Finals Odds: How Many Points Will Giannis Antetokounmpo Score in Game 6?

NBA Finals MVP favorite Giannis Antetokounmpo has a chance to win his first title in his already impressive career on Tuesday against the Phoenix Suns. 

The Milwaukee Bucks and Antetokounmpo are 4.5-point favorites in Game 6 at Fiserv Forum, and they have their sights on the franchise's first championship since 1971. While history suggests that the Bucks will take advantage of their -400 odds to win the series, there’s always a chance the Suns could force a winner-take-all Game 7. 

WynnBET has released its player props for Tuesday’s matchup and Antetokounmpo’s point prop is set at 32.5. The odds are a -110 pick’em, which certainly leaves some intrigue with the Greek Freak on fire in the Finals. 

Giannis has scored over 32.5 points in two games this series when he dropped 42 points in Game 2 and followed it with a 41-point game in Game 3. However, he has failed to top 32 points since then despite doing it nine other times this postseason. 

I’ve already taken the under on Giannis’ points, rebounds and assists prop that was set at 51.5, and the main argument was because he’s had to score 40 points this series in order to go over that number. I don’t see Giannis putting up a third 40-point game, as only six players in NBA history have three or more NBA Finals games with at least 40 points.

Giannis already has two in this series, and it's a major ask for him to light up Phoenix again, especially with the series on the line. The Bucks have won the past two games with balanced play between Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday, and I don't see why they'd stray from what has gotten them to this point.

Still, there is an argument for Giannis to hit the over. Antetokounmpo had 32 points in Game 5 despite going just 4-for-11 from the free throw line, but he’s been significantly better from the stripe at home in this series. In Game 3 and 4, Giannis combined to shoot 17-for-25 (68 percent) from the line. He’s just 22-for-41 (53.6 percent) from the line in Phoenix. 

That’s a major difference, and it could help him hit the over on his points prop if he finds his way to the stripe enough. That being said, Phoenix has limited its fouls on Antetokounmpo in the last two games (he's taken just eight and 11 free throws), and I think the Suns will try to do the same in Game 6 with their bench already razor thin. 

Giannis still could have a great game, but I don’t expect him to put up a historic scoring performance with the series on the line.

Think Giannis goes under 32.5? Or do you want to fade my pick? Download the WynnBET app in New Jersey, Indiana or Colorado and learn how to bet.