Nebraska vs. Minnesota Prediction, Odds and Spread for College Football Week 7

Sep 18, 2021; Boulder, Colorado, USA; Minnesota Golden Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan (2)
Sep 18, 2021; Boulder, Colorado, USA; Minnesota Golden Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan (2) / Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

Nebraska hits the road for a Big Ten showdown against Minnesota. The Cornhuskers lost a heartbreaker to Michigan at home last weekend, but will need to move on quickly or else they will drop another conference game against Minnesota. 

Who is favored? Where is the betting value? Check out the odds, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook, and our game preview below.

Nebraska vs. Minnesota Odds


  • Nebraska: -4 (-110)
  • Minnesota: +4 (-110)


  • Nebraska: -180
  • Minnesota: +160

Total: 47.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

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Nebraska vs. Minnesota Betting Trends

  • Nebraska is 2-4 ATS since Scott Frost took over in 2018 as an away favorite
  • Nebraska is 13-8 ATS off of a loss
  • Minnesota is 5-3 off of a bye with P.J. Fleck as head coach 
  • Minnesota is 5-5-1 off of a bye under Fleck

Time after time, Nebraska keeps coming up short. The team couldn’t get it done against Oklahoma, lost in overtime at Michigan State, and then a late game fumble crushed their hopes of beating Michigan last week. 

Now, they are a road favorite against a Minnesota team that had extra time to prepare? I make Nebraska a slight favorite in the game, but capturing the key numbers of three and four are key for me making this play on the Golden Gophers. There's definitely a let down factor being undersold in the line, with the Cornhuskers deflated after squandering another chance to win a signature game.

Yes, Minnesota is down their top two running backs after it was announced that Trey Potts would be out the rest of the year, but this is a Cornhuskers defense that is 82nd in defensive success rate. 

I’m expecting offensive coordinator Mike Sanford to take the extra week to attack the Nebraska defense through the air. The team has their No. 1 receiver, Chris Autumn-Bell, fully up to speed after missing time this season, which should open up the passing game against a Nebraska team that is allowing opponents to complete nearly 62% of passes.

Meanwhile, Nebraska has injuries along the offensive line and are hyper dependent on quarterback Adrian Martinez to do everything, both as a passer and runner. Martinez is the teams leading rusher.

However, it may be tough sledding against the Golden Gophers defense that is 35th in defensive success rate and allowing less than three yards per rush. If Martinez is going to have to make plays downfield that may spell trouble against a strong Minnesota secondary.

Not to mention, Nebraska has the fifth worst special teams unit, per S&P+ this season, while Minnesota has a kicker in Matthew Trickett, who has made a 50 yarder this season and an above average punter in Mark Crawford. In a game with a low total, field position will be paramount. 

Give me the home team at 4 or above. 

Pick: Minnesota +4