New Mexico State vs. Seattle U Prediction and Odds (Take Underdog In Late Action)

Monday’s nightcap in college basketball features a showdown to determine first place in the Western Atlantic Conference. The New Mexico State Aggies head to Seattle to take on the Redhawks with both teams tied for the lead in the WAC at 12-2 in conference play. Overall New Mexico State has a slight edge in the overall record at 22-4, but at 21-6, Seattle U is having a lot of success outside of WAC play too.

These two teams have met before this year with the Aggies beating the Redhawks 79-64 and New Mexico State will be gunning for that season series sweep on the road. The Aggies are 5-1 in their last six games but just 2-4 against the spread during the same span. The Redhawks are also 2-4 TS in their last six games, but two of those games were within their last three.

Here are the odds for this pivotal WAC matchup, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

New Mexico State vs. Seattle U Odds, Spread, and Total

Spread:

• New Mexico State -2.5 (-110)
• Seattle U +2.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

• New Mexico State -145
• Seattle U +120

Total: 143 (Over -110/Under -110)

New Mexico State vs. Seattle U Prediction and Pick

The Aggies enter this game 11-2 straight up in their last 13 games and just look like a much better team overall. However, the numbers suggest otherwise and that the Redhawks could get the revenge they seek and avoid a season sweep. Both teams have defenses that rank right around the 100th in the league area with the Aggies earning a slight edge in that department. The Aggies are also far better at grabbing defensive rebounds and rank 26th in the nation while the Redhawks rank 284th. However, the Redhawks offense ranks 57th overall in scoring while the Aggies fall outside of the top 100 teams in that category.

Another reason I like the Redhawks here is their ability to hit free throws. With a game this tight, the margin for error is very low and I don’t think I can trust a team that shoots 68.9% from the charity stripe, especially as 2.5-point favorites. The Redhawks shoot nearly 78% from the line and rank 21st in stark contrast.

Additionally, the Aggies are one of the worst teams in the nation in terms of steals and turnovers per game and rank 198th in personal fouls per play. I think there is enough here to warrant a play on Seattle U as slim underdogs. 

Lean: Seattle U +120 to win

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE