NFL Picks: Broncos vs. Browns Best Bets for Thursday Night Football

The Denver Broncos and Cleveland Browns will face off on Thursday Night Football this week, but the Browns will be without Baker Mayfield, Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb. 

After opening as five-point favorites at home, the Browns are now just 1.5-point favorites against Teddy Bridgewater and company. The Broncos have lost three straight, but they will face Case Keenum, a former Bronco, in a chance to pick up an upset. 

The BetSided team is here to give you their best bets for this matchup, with all odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook: 

Cleveland Browns -1.5 vs. Denver Broncos (-110)

I’ll say it time and time again, I’m a HUGE underreact guy. Everyone is jumping on the Broncos with news that Case Keenum will be starting for the Browns and they’ll also be without Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, but I don’t care. Give me the Browns at -1.5.

What I care about is the Browns offensive line. If they can continue to do their job like they have all NFL season, the backups at the skilled positions will be just fine. I expect them to continue to have success running the ball.

An interesting stat to note is that the Broncos are dead last in the NFL in third down conversion rate, getting a first down on only 29.87% of tries. That’s a bad sign for an offense, and I think it’s a true indicator of how effective they are as a whole. Give me the Browns -1.5 on Thursday night. -- Iain MacMillan

Javonte Williams OVER 46.5 Rushing Yards (-112)

The Broncos have gone back and forth all season long on who will lead the backfield, and Javonte Williams has been taking over. The rookie has gone over 46.5 yards in each of the last three games and is doing it with great efficiency. Williams is averaging 6.4 yards per carry over the last three games. 

Cleveland is going to stack the box, especially if Teddy Bridgewater isn’t available. However, if he does play, expect Williams to add onto his solid rookie season. -- Donnavan Smoot

Javonte Williams Anytime TD (+160)

With so many players out for Cleveland, I'm still trying to figure out why they're still near a 1.5-point favorite in this game. I suppose it's because Teddy Bridgewater could still hypothetically play, but it's looking more doubtful.

Instead, I'll focus my attention on a player prop I like if Teddy plays, but love if Drew Lock ends up getting in. Vic Fangio, Pat Shurmur and company will do everything in their power to make sure Lock doesn't make the costly turnover, so expect a heavy dose of the run game to also keep Myles Garrett at bay.

While Gordon has gotten more goal line opportunities, I'll side with the player who nobody can seem to bring down.

Williams has only gotten three carries inside the five-yard line, turning one into a touchdown. That's criminal for those kinds of numbers. If he is actually given an opportunity inside the five, watch out. -- Ben Heisler

Denver Broncos +1.5 at Cleveland Browns (-110)

The Browns are without their starting quarterback, two top running backs, No. 2 receiver (Jarvis Landry) and are still favored?

I’m not buying it. 

The Broncos have been really bad the past three games, but you know who’s worse? Case Keenum. And Denver fans remember just how bad he is from his time with the Broncos.

The Browns won’t be able to rely on Chubb and Hunt to carry the load in this one, and I think Denver is a perfect bounce-back pick in this matchup. -- Peter Dewey