NFL Picks: Our Staff's Best Bets for Week 4
By Peter Dewey
Looking for some NFL picks? Our staff at BetSided has you covered with their best bets for Week 4 of the NFL season.
A 3-2 Week 3 was in our grasp, but then the Las Vegas allowed the Miami Dolphins to force overtime, resulting in a horrible bad beat for our own Donnavan Smoot.
For even more previews, predictions and analysis, check out our NFL homepage and our College Football page.
All odds listed are via WynnBET.
New York Giants at New Orleans Saints (-7.5) | Total 42.0
THE PLAY: Giants +7.5 (-115)
I’m taking the underdog here. I’m taking the Giants in this one with the points. I was one of the biggest Saints supporters as far as a betting standpoint through the first three weeks, I think I was on them in all three weeks.
I’m going against them this week because everyone has made fun of how bad the Giants offense is this season, and rightfully so to some extent, they’re 17th in yards per play at 5.6. But do you want to know where the Saints rank in that stat? 29th! They’re only averaging 4.3 yards per play, that’s 1.3 yards less than the Giants. I think this is a buy low/sell high spot. -- Iain MacMillan
Cleveland Browns at Minnesota Vikings (+2.0) | Total 51.5
THE PLAY: Browns -2.0 (-115)
I love Cleveland this week. I think if you can get the Browns at -2.0, inside of a field goal, it’s great. If the Browns were going to get caught, they were going to get caught last week against the Chicago Bears with Justin Fields making his first start.
They haven’t looked that impressive in the last two games against Houston and Chicago, so I think if you were waiting for them to get upset it was going to happen one of those two weeks.
The Browns need wins since Baltimore is 2-1, the Cincinnati Bengals are surprisingly 2-1 and they have to keep pace with everybody in their division. I like what I saw from Odell Beckham Jr. last week, he looks to be back to his old self.
The Vikings give up about 120 yards on the ground every week, and the Browns average 174. I know that Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are going to show up against this defense. -- Donnavan Smoot
Pittsburgh Steelers at Green Bay Packers (-6.5) | Total 45.5
THE PLAY: Packers -6.5 (-110)
I’m going to stick with the Packers in this one off of their impressive win over the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football in Week 3.
Iain mentions yards per play with the Saints and the Giants matchup and if you look at the Steelers, they’re averaging just 4.9 yards per play this season, which is the seventh-worst mark in the NFL.
Ben Roethlisberger is not good anymore. I don’t want to go all Trent Dilfer on y’all, but he is not good anymore. They were absolutely terrible against the Bengals last week, Roethlisberger was checking down to Najee Harris for 19 targets. They’re not going to be able to keep up with this Packers offense.
Joe Burrow ended up lighting up the Steelers’ defense without T.J. Watt, so if he’s unable to go, Aaron Rodgers is going to pick them apart. And, on top of that, since Matt LaFleur took over as the Packers’ head coach, they have the second-best record against the spread as home favorites in the NFL at 13-7. -- Peter Dewey
Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos (-1.0) | Total 45.0
THE PLAY: Ravens +1.0 (-120)
I don’t think Teddy Bridgewater covers again this week. Iain made a good point about buying low and selling high on teams and Baltimore, yes they eked out that win against the Detroit Lions, but that was not without Marquise Brown dropping several big catches.
Justin Tucker obviously had to bail the Ravens out, but Baltimore outgained Detroit by more than 100 yards that entire game. I think Baltimore is actually on the upswing here. Lamar Jackson is starting to look a little more acclimated with his new weapons, we all know about the three preseason injuries to the running back corps, but this is a Baltimore team that is starting to gel a little bit.
Denver’s combined opponents record is 0-9 through the first three weeks. I know they look dominant, but should they be favored over Baltimore here? I projected Baltimore as a small favorite so I’ll take the one and I like them a lot as a teaser as well. -- Reed Wallach
Baltimore Ravens at Denver Broncos (-1.0) | Total 45.0 and Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers (-2.5) | Total 52.0
THE PLAY: Tease Ravens to +7.0 and Seattle at +8.5
I think Baltimore is still a team that is very dangerous despite not living up to its max amount of potential throughout the first three games of the season and if Hollywood Brown catches a touchdown in that game against Detroit we’re talking about the Ravens getting very close or right around covering last week.
I think they’ll hang in with Denver. I also think they’ll have a good opportunity to get the win. I like them at +1.0, I love them at +7.0. -- Ben Heisler
NFL Best Bets Record
LAST WEEK: 2-3
SEASON RECORD: 8-6
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