NFL Power Rankings Based on 2024 Super Bowl Odds (Chiefs Favored, Jets' Odds Surprisingly High)
By Peter Dewey
The 2022 NFL season came to a close on Sunday night, with the Kansas City Chiefs winning a thrilling Super Bowl 57 over the Philadelphia Eagles.
Kansas City rallied from a 10-point halftime deficit to beat Philly 38-35, winning its second Super Bowl in four seasons.
Are the Chiefs about to start a true dynastic run? Vegas sure seems to think so.
The odds to win the Super Bowl next season have been released, and Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are the favorites, with the Buffalo Bills, San Francisco 49ers, Cincinnati Bengals and Eagles rounding out the top five.
Kansas City has made the Super Bowl in three of the last four seasons, so it makes sense that oddsmakers see the Chiefs as the favorites, especially with Mahomes locked in long term.
However, some teams has surprisingly high odds (the New York Jets, Denver Broncos and Detroit Lions to name a few) entering the offseason. Here's how I'm ranking each team ahead of the offseason and the 2023 campaign:
1. Kansas City Chiefs (+600)
Patrick Mahomes has made five straight AFC Championship Games and three of the last four Super Bowls. He's got a chance (I said a chance!) to be the GOAT.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (+900)
Jalen Hurts and Philly will be back, the team has too much talent on this roster not to compete for a title next season.
3. Cincinnati Bengals (+900)
Joe Burrow and the Bengals seem to be the only team that can slow down Patrick Mahomes, so they'll stick in the No. 3 spot in my rankings.
4. Buffalo Bills (+700)
Buffalo's window is still open because of Josh Allen, but the team has fallen short in the playoffs two years in a row...
5. San Francisco 49ers (+800)
Who will be San Francisco's quarterback? It's shocking the 49ers roster is so good that oddsmakers don't seem to care, placing them third in the odds.
6. Los Angeles Chargers (+2200)
Justin Herbert and company will have a new look in the 2023 season with Kellen Moore calling the offense.
7. Baltimore Ravens (+2200)
The Ravens just need to keep Lamar Jackson healthy. When he is, they are a Super Bowl contender.
8. Dallas Cowboys (+1400)
Dallas has the talent to push the Eagles for the NFC East crown in 2023. The team does have a big decision to make at running back with Tony Pollard set to be a free agent.
9. Jacksonville Jaguars (+2800)
Trevor Lawrence is here, and Doug Pederson's group should be the favorite in the AFC South.
10. Las Vegas Raiders (+4000)
This is by far my biggest reach in these rankings, but this feels like the perfect spot for Aaron Rodgers to end up...
11. New York Giants (+4000)
New York has a decisionto make on Daniel Jones, but the Giants have one of the best young coaches in the league in Brian Daboll.
12. Los Angeles Rams (+3500)
Sean McVay is back, but do the Rams veterans have one last run in them?
13. Miami Dolphins (+3000)
Tua Tagovailoa's health will determine how far the Dolphins can go in 2023.
14. Green Bay Packers (+3000)
We could be entering a new era in Green Bay (the Jordan Love era?), but who knows what Aaron Rodgers' final decision will be.
15. Detroit Lions (+3000)
The Lions showed that they can compete for the playoffs last season, so Dan Campbell's group is going to be a trendy pick in the 2023 season.
16. New York Jets (+2800)
Does New York land Rodgers? At this point anyone is an upgrade over Zach Wilson, and the Jets have enough talent to be a playoff team in 2023.
17. Minnesota Vikings (+4500)
The Vikings were frauds last season, posting a great record but terrible defensive numbers. They seem to have reached their ceiling with Kirk Cousins.
18. Cleveland Browns (+4000)
Deshaun Watson is going to get a full season under center in Cleveland. Not sure that's a good thing.
19. Pittsburgh Steelers (+5500)
Mike Tomlin is going to get this Steelers team around .500, but the development of Kenny Pickett will determine the Steelers' fate in 2023.
20. New England Patriots (+6000)
You can't count out Bill Belichick, but things haven't looked great since Tom Brady left...
21. Seattle Seahawks (+7000)
Does Seattle bring back Geno Smith? The Seahawks made the playoffs last season, but they may be in line for some regression in 2023.
22. New Orleans Saints (+5000)
Derek Carr didn't want to go to the Saints, so maybe they'll let Jameis Winston play after benching him for... Andy Dalton? Yeah, that move made very little sense.
23. Carolina Panthers (+5500)
The Panthers showed some fight at the end of the 2022 season, and they have a solid defense. Quarterback is once again the question for this franchise entering the offseason.
24. Denver Broncos (+3000)
Can Sean Payton fix Russell Wilson? The Broncos better hope so after giving up a first-round pick to hire the long-time Saints head coach.
25. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+6000)
The Bucs went 8-9 with Tom Brady in 2022, and now he's retired. Tampa Bay has a good roster, but will it have the QB to take it back to the playoffs?
26. Tennessee Titans (+7500)
Tennessee took a major step back in the 2022 season, and it needs an infusion of talent, esepcially on offense, to regain contender status.
27. Washington Commanders (+7000)
Stop me if you've heard this before: The Carson Wentz experiment didn't work. It's back to the drawing board for Washington.
28. Chicago Bears (+8000)
The Bears have their quarterback, but now they need to build a quality roster around him. Having the No. 1 pick should help.
29. Atlanta Falcons (+7500)
Atlanta won too many games this past season and doesn't have an answer at quarterback... Derek Carr anyone?
30. Arizona Cardinals (+20000)
Kyler Murray's ACL injury may doom the Cardinals in the 2023 season.
31. Indianapolis Colts (+15000)
The Colts still don't have a quarterback. Can we trust Jim Irsay and this front office to make the right decision? I don't.
32. Houston Texans (+20000)
Hiring DeMeco Ryans should help the Texans turn this thing around, but they lack talent throughout the roster.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.