NFL Power Rankings Based on Super Bowl Odds Ahead of Week 11 (Miami Jumps Buffalo, Are Bucs Back?)
By Peter Dewey
We may have seen the craziest game in the NFL so far this season in Week 10, as the Minnesota Vikings used a muffed snap by the Buffalo Bills to win in overtime to move to 8-1 on the season.
Minnesota wasn't the only team to come away with a big win for the playoff picture in Week 10, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Green Bay Packers and San Francisco 49ers all improved their stock in the NFC.
In the AFC, Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are leading the way, but Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins are the new leaders in the AFC East and have won every game Tua has started and finished this season.
How did Week 10 shake up our Power Rankings? Here's the latest as we transition to Week 11:
1. Philadelphia Eagles (+500) Last Week: No. 1
I'm leaving the Eagles at one, even with their loss to the Commanders, as they are still 8-1 on the season. Getting the loss out of the way may end up being a good thing...
2. Kansas City Chiefs (+450) LW: No. 2
Patrick Mahomes is the MVP favorite, and the Chiefs control their destiny in the AFC.
3. Minnesota Vikings (+1200) LW: No. 4
You like that? The Vikings capitalized on two Buffalo miscues to pull off a stunning road upset and improve to 8-1.
4. Miami Dolphins (+1600) LW: No. 8
Tua Time has commenced! The Dolphins moved to 7-0 in games Tagovailoa starts and finishes this season. They're a sneaky team in the AFC playoff picture.
5. Buffalo Bills (+400) LW: No. 3
Two costly Josh Allen turnovers led to the Bills' second straight loss. They now are behind Miami in the AFC East.
6. Baltimore Ravens (+1200) LW: No. 6
Lamar Jackson and the Ravens stay locked in at No. 6 on their bye week.
7. Dallas Cowboys (+1400) LW: No. 5
Dallas drops a couple spots after blowing a two-score lead to Green Bay in Week 10.
8. San Francisco 49ers (+1000) LW: No. 10
CMC and the 49ers have a real chance to take control of the NFC West in the coming weeks after winning in Week 10.
9. Cincinnati Bengals (+3000) LW: No. 9
The Bengals may get Ja'Marr Chase back sooner rather than later, a great sign for their playoff push.
10. Seattle Seahawks (+5000) LW: No. 7
The Seahawks fell to the Buccaneers in Germany, opening up the NFC West race once again.
11. Tennessee Titans (+3000) LW: No. 16
Tennessee's offense still isn't great, but it shut down Denver for a much-needed bounce-back win.
12. New York Jets (+5000) LW: No. 12
The Jets keep the No. 12 spot through their bye week.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+1600) LW: No. 15
Tom Brady and the Bucs have won two straight and have a pretty clear path to a division title in the NFC South.
14. New York Giants (+6600) LW: No. 13
The Giants keep winning games, and they certainly benefitted from Dallas getting knocked off by Green Bay.
15. Los Angeles Chargers (+3500) LW: No. 11
The Chargers are going to Charger, struggling after getting up early to put themselves on the outside looking in for the playoffs in the AFC.
16. New England Patriots (+6600) LW: No. 14
The Patriots were on the bye, but they drop a few spots with other teams picking up wins.
17. Arizona Cardinals (+15000) LW: No. 20
Colt McCoy rejuvenated the Cardinals offense with Kyler Murray out, leading them to a big win over the Rams in Week 10.
18. Green Bay Packers (+8000) LW: No. 24
The Packers finally grabbed a win with an overtime victory against Dallas. Is Chrisitan Watson developing into a solid target for Aaron Rodgers?
19. Washington Commanders (+30000) LW: No. 19
Down goes Philly! The Commanders ended the Eagles' undefeated season, and they look like a much better team with Taylor Heinicke at QB...
20. Atlanta Falcons (+20000) LW: No. 18
Losing to the Panthers on Thursday Night Football is the quickest way to take yourself out of the playoff race. Atlanta did just that this week.
21. Los Angeles Rams (+8000) LW: No. 17
Cooper Kupp is injured, Matthew Stafford is injured and the Rams' season is all but in the tank.
22. Indianapolis Colts (+25000) LW: No. 27
Jeff Saturday grabbed a win in his first career coaching appearance after re-inserting Matt Ryan back into the starting quarterback role.
23. Cleveland Browns (+10000) LW: No. 22
The Browns may have dug themselves too big of a hole without Deshaun Watson to make the playoffs this season.
24. Jacksonville Jaguars (+15000) LW: No. 25
Nobody is going to have an easy time with the Kansas City Chiefs, and Jacksonville was no different in Week 10. At least Trevor Lawrence threw a pair of scores in the loss.
25. Detroit Lions (+50000) LW: No. 28
The Lions pulled off a win over the Bears, which they may come back to regret because it hurt their draft position.
26. Chicago Bears (+100000) LW: No. 23
The Bears may not be winning games, but Justin Fields looks like a star in the making. That's all that really should matter this season.
27. Denver Broncos (+15000) LW: No. 26
Russell Wilson and the Broncos are in the midst of a lost season, the opposite of what the team expected when it traded multiple first-round picks for Russ this past offseason.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers (+50000) LW: No. 31
Najee Harris finally sprung back to life with 99 rushing yards in the Steelers' Week 10 win.
29. New Orleans Saints (+20000) LW: No. 21
The Saints' offense was horrendous in a loss to the Steelers in Week 10. The worst part? New Orleans doesn't own its first-round pick in the 2023 NFL Draft.
30. Carolina Panthers (+50000) LW: No. 30
The Panthers won on Thursday Night Football, but this team is still going nowhere in the 2022 season.
31. Las Vegas Raiders (+30000) LW: No. 29
Josh McDaniels reportedly will be back next season, but losing to Jeff Saturday and the Colts has to be an all-time low.
32. Houston Texans (+100000) LW: No. 32
The Texans are in prime position to grab the No. 1 pick after another one possession loss, this time to the New York Giants.
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.