NFL Power Rankings Based on Super Bowl Odds Ahead of Week 13 (Commanders Surging, Packers and Broncos Are Done)
By Peter Dewey
For the first time all season, the Kansas City Chiefs are the favorite to win the Super Bowl over the Buffalo Bills, who have held the distinction since Week 1.
Patrick Mahomes and company rolled to an easy victory over the Los Angeles Rams in Week 12 while Josh Allen and the Bills needed a game-winning field goal to escape with a win against the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving.
While those teams have been constant contenders, the Washington Commanders are a team on a run, now favored to make the playoffs after winning another game in Week 12. Taylor Heinicke is showing that he can manage the team to wins, and the Commanders are now just half a game behind the New York Giants in the NFC East.
Aaron Rodgers, who was injured on Sunday Night Football against the Philadelphia Eagles, is watching the Green Bay Packers slowly sink out of the playoff picture. I wonder if he needs Nathaniel Hackett back, because the Denver Broncos and Russell Wilson certainly can't seem to win with him.
Denver hit rock bottom with a loss to the Carolina Panthers in Week 12. Sam Darnold looked like the best quarterback the Panthers have played this season, but that's not saying much.
It was yet another wild week in the NFL, so how did it change our Power Rankings? Let's break it down:
1. Kansas City Chiefs (+430) Last Week: No. 1
The Chiefs look like the best team in the NFL the past few weeks, winning their fifth straight on Sunday.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (+650) LW: No. 1
Jalen Hurts flashed his dual-threat ability in a dominant offensive game on Sunday Night Football.
3. Buffalo Bills (+450) LW: No. 3
Buffalo stays in the No. 3 spot, but the team is going to need to find a way to replace Von Miller (knee injury) on defense, which is a tall task.
4. Dallas Cowboys (+900) LW: No. 4
Dallas dominated the Giants on Thanksgiving, and if you give this offense Odell Beckham Jr., it's going to be nearly impossible to stop.
5. Miami Dolphins (+1600) LW: No. 4
Tua Tagovailoa and the Dolphins cruised to a win over the Texans in Week 12, and they remain atop the AFC East standings.
6. San Francisco 49ers (+650) LW: No. 8
The 49ers defense is legit, and the team has control over the NFC West after winning its fourth straight.
7. Minnesota Vikings (+1800) LW: No. 7
Primetime Kirk Cousins actually delivered for the Vikings in a huge win over New England.
8. Cincinnati Bengals (+1800) LW: No. 9
The Bengals are now even record wise with the Ravens in the AFC North, and they've won three straight, even without Ja'Marr Chase, who is expected to be back next week.
9. Baltimore Ravens (+1800) LW: No. 6
Baltimore blew another game in the final moments, and you could really make the argument that Baltimore should be 9-2 or 10-1.
10. Los Angeles Chargers (+3500) LW: No. 14
Justin Herbert and the Chargers picked up a huge comeback win over the Cardinals and are back in the playoff conversation.
11. Tennessee Titans (+3500) LW: No. 11
Tennessee dropped a close game with the Bengals, but it still has the inside track to an AFC South title.
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2500) LW: No. 10
The Buccaneers may win the NFC South, but they don't look like a true contender, and haven't all season.
13. Washington Commanders (+10000) LW: No. 15
Taylor Heinicke and the Commanders have three straight wins and FanDuel has them favored to make the postseason.
14. Seattle Seahawks (+6600) LW: No. 12
Seattle still has a shot at the playoffs, but an overtime loss to the Raiders certainly stings.
15. New York Jets (+7000) LW: No. 17
Mike White! The Jets backup diced up the Bears to get New York back in the win column in Week 12.
16. New York Giants (+15000) LW: No. 16
Are the Giants in trouble? The team has lost back-to-back games and is in danger of missing the playoffs.
17. New England Patriots (+10000) LW: No. 13
The Patriots defense forgot to show up on Thanksgiving in a close loss to the Vikings.
18. Cleveland Browns (+20000) LW: No. 24
Jacoby Brissett led the Browns on a game-tying drive to force OT and a drive to win in OT against Tampa Bay. Now, the team will get Deshaun Watson back against Houston.
19. Atlanta Falcons (+21000) LW: No. 18
The Falcons benefitted from another loss by the Buccaneers to stay alive in the NFC South.
20. Jacksonville Jaguars (+15000) LW: No. 25
Trevor Lawrence orchestrated a game-winning drive, putting the Jags back in the mix in the AFC South.
21. Arizona Cardinals (+80000) LW: No. 19
The Cardinals squandered an opportunity to upset the Chargers by allowing a late two-point conversion to Gerald Everett.
22. Green Bay Packers (+30000) LW: No. 20
Aaron Rodgers is hurt, and the Packers may want to get a look at Jordan Love in this lost season.
23. Indianapolis Colts (+30000) LW: No. 22
The Colts couldn't close out a comeback on Monday Night Football, and they are now almost entirely out of the playoff picture.
24. Las Vegas Raiders (+21000) LW: No. 31
Josh Jacobs put up over 300 total yards and two scores to carry the Raiders to an OT win over Seattle.
25. Detroit Lions (+25000) LW: No. 22
The Lions' close games struggles returned, losing a heartbreaker to the Bills on Thanksgiving.
26. Los Angeles Rams (+25000) LW: No. 21
Allen Robinson is done for the year, and the Rams appear to be packing things in after a disappointing first 12 weeks.
27. Carolina Panthers (+50000) LW: No. 31
Sam Darnold's season debut was impressive, and he may get a chance to keep the job the rest of the season.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers (+80000) LW: No. 30
The Steelers kept Mike Tomlin's insane MNF record alive, but they lost Najee Harris to an injury in the process.
29. New Orleans Saints (+30000) LW: No. 25
The Saints were shutout in Week 12, and it may be time to go back to Jameis Winston at quarterback.
30. Chicago Bears (+100000) LW: No. 29
The Bears didn't have Justin Fields in Week 12, and they looked terrible in a loss to the Jets.
31. Denver Broncos (+100000) LW: No. 29
Rock. Bottom. The Broncos lost to the Carolina Panthers in Week 12 and it's a miracle that Nathaniel Hackett still has a job.
32. Houston Texans (+200000) LW: No. 32
Houston decided to start Kyle Allen and was run off the field by the Miami Dolphins. Why not let Davis Mills finish out the season?
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.