NFL Straight Up Picks for Every Game in the Divisional Round (Bills will advance to AFC Championship)

Josh Allen and the Bills face off against the Bengals in a highly anticipated playoff
Josh Allen and the Bills face off against the Bengals in a highly anticipated playoff / Kareem Elgazzar / USA TODAY NETWORK
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Arguably the best weekend of football of the year, the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs, is here.

Throughout the regular season, I gave you my moneyline pick for every single game. I am continuing that throughout the playoffs, including this week.

In this article, I'm going to give you my straight up moneyline pick for all four NFL Divisional Round games. We don't care about point spreads in this article, moneylines only.

Be sure to also check out this week's episode of the Bacon Bets Podcast to hear my deep dive into each game, including my favorite player prop for each.

But for now, here are my straight up picks for all four Divisional Round games.

NFL Divisional Round Moneyline Bets

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Pick: Chiefs -435

New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles

  • Pick: Eagles -335

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Buffalo Bills

  • Pick: Bills -240

The Bengals aren't as good as you might think they are. Of the seven remaining teams in the playoffs, the Bengals rank seventh in net yards per play, and their net yards per play number is -0.7 on the road this season. Their numbers don't jump off the page, and I think the Bills will handle them easily in this game.

Dallas Cowboys vs. San Francisco 49ers

  • Pick: 49ers -195

Yes, I'm taking the favorite in all four games, but I have good reason to. I'm of the firm belief that the top four teams in the NFL, the Chiefs, Bills, 49ers, and Eagles, are a step above the competition. The stats would back this claim up. Just look at this week's Net Yards per Play report for evidence of that.

The 49ers will cap the weekend off with a win and a berth in the NFC Championship.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.