NFL Week 4 Betting Trends and Odds for Every Team, Every Game (Tom Brady Thrives in This Spot vs. Chiefs)

Week 4 in the NFL features several fascinating matchups, including the two top dogs on the board for NFL MVP.

Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills opened up as 3.5-point favorites against the Baltimore Ravens on the road this week, but sharps have come in heavy on Baltimore, moving the line down to 2.5. One of the reasons why could be the Bills' inability to win one-possession games over the past two seasons, going 0-7 in games where it's been by eight points or less.

However, it's also worth noting that Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is 8-2 ATS as an underdog in his young career. Furthermore, the Ravens are 5-0 in the past five seasons as an underdog at home.

Meanwhile in Tampa, the Kansas City Chiefs and Tampa Bay Buccaneers match up with Patrick Mahomes going up against Tom Brady. Via Evan Abrams of TAN, Brady is undefeated against the spread (ATS) as a home underdog coming off of a loss.

As for that Mahomes fella, he's been pretty damn good in this spot as well; going 11-3 straight up after a loss, but just 7-7 ATS.

Curious to know more of these helpful betting trends ahead of this week's games?

Let's take a deeper dive into the latest odds for each game on the NFL Week 4 calendar, and dissect several unique betting trends for each team and their opponent.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 28 - THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Trends and Odds

Dolphins:

• Dolphins 3-0 ATS in 2022, 4-0 ATS in last four September games
• Tua Tagovailoa is 9-3-1 ATS as an underdog
• Away team is 5-0 ATS in last five games

Bengals: 

• Bengals 7-0 ATS vs. teams above .500
• Bengals 9-2 ATS in last 11 games
• Unders in primetime are 7-3 in 2022

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 2 - LONDON GAME

Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints Betting Trends and Odds

Vikings:

• The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 Vikings games
• Vikings are 1-4 ATS in last five games played in October

Saints:

• Saints are 5-2 ATS in last seven games against Vikings
• UNDER is 8-2 in last 10 Saints games
• Saints are 5-0 straight up in last five games against NFC North opponents

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 2 - EARLY SLATE

Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends and Odds

Browns:

• Unders are 6-1 in Browns last seven vs. teams below .500
• Browns 16-33-2 ATS in last 51 games after a win ATS (via Covers)

Falcons:

• Falcons 3-0 ATS in 2022
• Falcons 3-0 in Overs in 2022
• Falcons 0-4-1 ATS vs. teams with winning records

Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens Betting Trends and Odds

Bills:

• The OVER is 13-7 in the Bills last 20 road games.
• Bills are 0-5 straight up in their last five games in Baltimore.

Ravens:

• The UNDER is 8-2 in the last 10 games against the Bills
• Ravens are 13-6 ATS in last 19 games vs. AFC East opponents
• Ravens are 6-1 ATS in last seven games as home underdogs

Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends and Odds

Commanders:

• Washington 0-4 ATS in last four October games
• Under 6-1 in Washington’s last seven after an ATS loss

Cowboys:

• Cowboys 6-0 ATS in last six vs. under .500 teams
• Cowboys 15-6 ATS over last 21 games
• Under 3-0-1 in Dallas’ last four games after a win ATS

Seattle Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions Betting Trends and Odds

Seahawks: 

• Seattle 4-1 ATS in last five road games vs. teams below .500
• Under is 5-0 in last five October games
• Over 4-1 following a loss ATS

Lions: 

• The Lions are 10-2 ATS in their last dozen games
• The Lions covered the spread in each of their last six home games

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Houston Texans Betting Trends and Odds

Chargers: 

• The Chargers are 2-1 ATS this season
• The UNDER is 2-1 in both the Chargers and Texans three games this season
• The Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Texans
• The Chargers are 0-3 ATS as road favorites under Brandon Staley

Texans:

• The Texans are 2-0-1 ATS this season
• The UNDER is 2-1 in both the Chargers and Texans three games this season
• The Texans are 1-7-1 straight up in their last nine home games

Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts Betting Trends and Odds

Titans:

• Titans are 4-1 ATS in last five games vs. Colts
• OVER is 9-2 in last 11 Titans games
• Titans are 8-1 straight up in their last nine games vs. AFC South opponents.

Colts:

• The UNDER is 8-0 in Indy’s last eight games
• Colts are 1-5 ATS in last six games vs. AFC South opponents

Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants Betting Trends and Odds

Bears:

• Under is 9-1 in Bears’ last 10 October games
• Bears 1-1-1 ATS in 2022
• Underdog 5-1 ATS in last six games

Giants: 

• Giants 66-88-4 ATS at home in last 20 years 
• Daniel Jones 0-2 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 or more (via Evan Abrams)

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles Betting Trends and Odds

Jaguars:

• Jacksonville 0-2 SU/ATS on back-to-back road games under Trevor Lawrence
• Teams that won by 28+ points and are a six-point underdog or higher the next week are 3-8 ATS, and 0-11 SU (via Evan Abrams)

Eagles:

• Over 5-1 in Eagles’ last six games at home
• Eagles 3-1-1 ATS in last five home games

New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends and Odds

Jets:

• 16-33-2 ATS in the last 51 road games (via Covers)
• Over is 5-2 in Jets’ last seven games on the road

Steelers:

• The under is 7-1-1 in Pittsburgh’s last nine games as home favorites
• Under is 5-1 in Steelers’ last six after a loss ATS
• Steelers 4-0 ATS in last four after a loss ATS

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 2 - LATE AFTERNOON SLATE

Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers Betting Trends and Odds

Cardinals:

• Arizona has won each of its last seven games as road underdogs
• Cardinals 7-1 ATS in last eight October games

Panthers: 

• Carolina is 1-9 outright in its last 10 games as home favorites
• Over is 4-1 in Panthers' last five games vs. teams below .500

New England Patriots vs. Green Bay Packers Betting Trends and Odds

Patriots:

• New England 6-0 ATS in last six games after a loss of 10+ points at home
• Patriots 0-4-1 ATS in last five games
• OVER is 4-0 in Patriots’ last four October games

Packers:

• Packers 14-7 ATS since start of 2021
• UNDER is 4-0 in Packers’ last four games
• UNDER is 8-0 in Packers’ last eight October games

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends and Odds

There is a very unique betting trend in the Raiders’ favor heading into this matchup in Week 4: 

Broncos:

• The Broncos are 1-2 against the spread this season.
• The UNDER is 3-0 in Denver’s games this season

Raiders:

• The Raiders are 1-11 ATS in their last dozen games as favorites
• The Raiders are 0-3 against the spread this season.
• The OVER is 1-1-1 in Vegas’ three games this season.
• Josh McDaniels is 13-18 ATS as a head coach in the NFL. 

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 2 - SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Trends and Odds

Chiefs:

• Over is 5-1 in Chiefs’ last six games on the road
• K.C. is 0-4 ATS in the last four games in Tampa Bay, and 0-4 ATS in the last four head-to-head matchups vs. Bucs

Buccaneers:

• Tom Brady 10-0 ATS over last 20 years as underdog following a loss (via Evan Abrams)
• Buccaneers 13-7-0 ATS at home since Tom Brady got to Tampa
• Underdog 5-1 ATS in last six games

MONDAY, OCTOBER 3 - MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers Betting Trends and Odds

Rams:

• Rams 4-1 ATS on Monday Night Football
• Under 4-1 in the Rams' last five games, 4-1 vs. NFC West teams
• Rams 3-8 ATS vs. teams under .500 in past 11

49ers:

• Kyle Shanahan 17-26-1 ATS as a favorite
• S.F. is 5-0 ATS in last five vs. winning teams
• S.F. is 5-0 ATS in last five home games