NFL Week 4 Straight Up Picks for Every Team
The fourth week of the NFL season kicks off tonight, so let's take some initiative and lock in our bets for the entire week.
We're going to keep it simple and just focus on who wins and who loses these games. No need to worry about covering or needing a blowout.
Here are my best moneyline bets for all NFL Week 4 games, with odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.
NFL Week 4 Moneyline Bets
Miami Dolphins vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Miami’s speed on the outside is ridiculous, and I think that is going to be the difference in the game.
Cincinnati can’t protect Joe Burrow at all, and will have trouble keeping him upright. The Bengals got a win against the Jets last week, but their regression is real.
Pick: Miami +160
Minnesota Vikings vs. New Orleans Saints
New Orleans may be without Jameis Winston and Michael Thomas in this one. I refuse to back them if Andy Dalton is starting at quarterback.
Pick: Vikings -144
Cleveland Browns vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Browns are the best rushing team and should be able to control the tempo of the game. Atlanta got a good win last week, but the Browns’ defense will be able to apply pressure that Seattle simply wasn’t.
Pick: Browns -122
Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys
While this feels like a spot where the Commanders might shock a lot of people, Cooper Rush is playing well enough for me to back Dallas. As long as the CeeDee Lamb can limit his drops, the passing game should be explosive enough.
Pick: Cowboys -164
Seattle Seahawks vs. Detroit Lions
Detroit lost a close one last week because of their defensive struggles. However, the Seahawks will have to get into a shootout to keep this game close and I don’t see Geno Smith keeping up.
Pick: Lions -210
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Colts won a fluky game at home against the Chiefs. If they play the same way against Tennessee, the Titans will win.
Pick: Titans +146
Chicago Bears vs. New York Giants
Chicago, even after a win, somehow looks like the worst team in the league. New York isn’t great, but it's better than Chicago.
Pick: Giants -178
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Although the Jaguars have looked great, they’ll face an explosive offense and a true dual-threat quarterback to put pressure on the defense. Fly Eagles Fly.
Pick: Eagles -290
New York Jets vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Zach Wilson is making his return and I think he can get the job done. Mitchell Trubisky has been incredibly unimpressive this season and can’t make the Steelers’ explosive.
Pick: Jets +144
Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Bills are rightfully the favorites, as its wide receiving core should win a lot against a hit-or-miss Ravens defense, but Lamar Jackson has played out of his mind in the last two weeks – so I’ll back him.
Pick: Ravens +136
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Houston Texans
The Chargers came out flat against Jacksonville, but will rebound here against a bottom tier team.
Pick: Chargers -235
Arizona Cardinals vs. Carolina Panthers
Kyler Murray will end up being too much for the Panthers. Even in a close, low-scoring game, I like the Cardinals on the road.
Pick: Cardinals -102
New England Patriots vs. Green Bay Packers
Green Bay should wipe the floor with New England without Mac Jones. It should be a slow and methodical beat down.
Pick: Packers -460
Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders
The Raiders have to win a game eventually. Right?
Pick: Raiders -144
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Patrick Mahomes is coming off a loss and is playing a Bucs team that looks terrible on offense right now. I’ll take a motivated Mahomes.
Pick: Chiefs -124
Los Angeles Rams vs. San Francisco 49ers
Jimmy G is back and that means it feels good to fade the 49ers again.
Pick: Rams +100
You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.