No. 16 Mississippi State vs. No. 22 Kentucky Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 7

The AP Poll certainly seems like it cut Kentucky some slack for losing to South Carolina last week because Will Levis was out with an injury.

This week it appears that Levis will be back on the field and that makes for a great matchup of two of the most underrated and excited quarterbacks in the SEC.

Maybe Levis isn’t too underrated, he is slated as a first-round pick, but Will Rogers leads the country in passing yards under Mike Leach’s air raid system. 

Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread and Total

Kentucky and Mississippi State Betting Trends

• Miss St’s games are 4-2 to the over
• UK’s games are 5-1 to the under
• Miss St is 4-1-1 ATS
• UK is 4-2 ATS

Mississippi State vs. Kentucky Prediction and Pick

When handicapping any game with Mike Leach as the coach you have to look at the passing defense for the other team. It is quite literally step one and informs everything else about the game. For example, Kentucky is 20th in total defense and 16th in passing defense.

The Wildcats only allowed 174.2 yards through the air per game. Even in their loss to Ole Miss, Jaxson Dart only threw for 213 yards, the Rebels did most of their damage on the ground in that game. 

Kentucky was absolutely awful in Starkville last season and lost to Mississippi State, 31-17 when it came in ranked No. 12 in the country. Will Levis was awful, throwing three interceptions and only 150 yards.

Everything I’ve ever heard about Will Levis being a high character leader tells me that he is going to bounce back in a big way after watching his team lose from the sidelines. 

Also in the game last year, Will Rogers threw for 344 yards, but that was on the 52nd best pass defense in the country. Kentucky’s secondary seems greatly improved from a year ago, so I’ll lean on that defense coached by Mark Stoops and on Will Levis to get some revenge for last year. 

Pick: Kentucky +150

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change