No. 24 Texas vs. No. 13 Kansas State Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 10

Oct 29, 2022; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Kansas State Wildcats running back Deuce Vaughn (22) runs away
Oct 29, 2022; Manhattan, Kansas, USA; Kansas State Wildcats running back Deuce Vaughn (22) runs away / Scott Sewell-USA TODAY Sports

Kansas State had their chance to launch themselves into the top 10 and maybe even on the cusp of the playoff conversation, but they squandered a 28-17 first half lead to TCU. A scoreless second half did them in two weeks ago, but last week, they took out their frustrations on Oklahoma State. K-State was good with Adrian Martinez as veteran backup Will Howard made the start in Week 9 and led them to a 48-0 win over Oklahoma State. 

The Texas Longhorns will have to prepare for both quarterbacks that the Wildcats could throw at them. Texas is the favorite in this one, so let’s check out where Vegas has the odds set. 

Texas vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread and Total

Texas vs. Kansas State Betting Trends

  • Kansas State is 5-2-1 ATS
  • Texas is 5-3 ATS
  • Texas is 1-5 ATS in last six road games
  • Texas is 1-6 in last 7 meetings at Kansas State
  • The Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings

Texas vs. Kansas State Prediction and Pick

The Wildcats offense looked much different with Howard under center than Martinez, who is second on the Wildcats in rushing yards with 565, averaging 6.1 yards per carry and nine touchdowns. Further, Martinez has only thrown for four touchdowns.

Meanwhile, Howard has started one game and come on in relief in the other and already has 521 yards passing, compared to Martinez’s 907 and Howard has six passing touchdowns. 

Martinez has been a big reason why Kansas State is No. 13, but Howard is the better quarterback for this game. The Texas defense is 33rd against the run and 92nd against the pass. If I knew Howard was making the start I would go with K-State, but at this point in the week, Chris Klieman has yet to announce his starter. 

The last time we saw Texas they lost to Oklahoma State, 41-34. You know, the same Oklahoma State team that Kansas State just boat raced. I think a lot of bettors will draw strong conclusions from those two results, but Steve Sarkisian is one of the best play-callers in the sport and he has had two weeks to game plan for the Wildcats. 

I understand why Texas is favored in this game, but I would like the Longhorns much more at home. They are 1-6 ATS in their last seven trips to Manhattan Kansas. I think Kansas State is the better team, so I’m not going to overthink it or get scared off by the public money, but I will wait to see who the Wildcats quarterback is to bet this game.

If it’s Will Howard I love K-State moneyline. If it's Adrian Martinez, I’m backing Texas and laying the 2.5. That’s how big of a swing I think the quarterback decision is. For now, my play will be the under which is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these teams. 

Pick: Under 54.5 (-110)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change