North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 11

Week 11 brings us a massive ACC Coastal game between the North Carolina Tar Heels and the Pittsburgh Panthers at Heinz Field.

The 7-2 Panthers lead the division over second-place Virginia with a perfect 5-0 conference record. Pitt bounced back last week with a strong win over Duke that saw quarterback Kenny Pickett throw for 416 yards and three touchdowns. The Panthers have a great shot to head to the ACC Championship game and have a lot more to play for than UNC in this game. 

Despite a shaky 5-4 record, the Tar Heels are coming off one of the biggest upsest so far this season. UNC beat No. 9 Wake Forest 58-55, handing the Demon Deacons their first loss of the season. That win brings a lot of momentum with it and show that if the start align, UNC can hang with teams that are considered much better.  

Can we expect a repeat performance by UNC against a ranked opponent? Here are the odds for this AAC Coastal clash, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Spread and Over/Under

Spread:

• UNC: +6.0 (-110) 

• Pittsburgh: -6.0  (-110) 

Moneyline:

• UNC: +195

• Pittsbugh: -230

Total:

• 74.0 (Over -110/Under -110)

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Betting Trends

• UNC is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against Pitt. 
• UNC is 1-9 SU in its last ten games on the road. 
• The OVER is 4-2 in UNC’s last six games. 
• Pitt is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games.
• The OVER is 5-1 in the last six games between these two teams. 

North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh Prediction and Pick

The No. 25 Pittsburgh Panthers feature the highest-scoring offense in college football this season. Their lowest scoring game was a 28-point performance against Virginia Tech with their highest being a 77-7 win over New Hampshire. 

I do worry a bit about this team after losing to Miami two weeks ago and then having a bit of trouble against Duke. Don’t let that 54-29 final score fool you into thinking that this whole game was a blowout or that Duke scored a bunch in garbage time.

In fact, the Blue Devils led this game 19-14 in the second quarter. Thankfully, for them, Pickett saved the day and lit up Duke for more than 400 yards and four total touchdowns. While a win is a win, it was a troubling first half for a team coming off an upset loss. 

Meanwhile, UNC beating Wake Forest last weekend has to have spiked the Tar Heels' momentum and confidence heading into Week 11. Wake was a top-10 ranked team and UNC beat them for most of this game and on both sides of the ball. 

I want to like UNC again here but I think Pitt has learned from its close call last week and won’t get off to a slow start again. This is the nation’s highest-scoring offense after all. I expect them to play more like it this week. 

Prediction: Pittsburgh -6.0 (-110)