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North Dakota State vs. South Dakota State Prediction and Odds for Summit League Championship Game

By Reed Wallach

South Dakota State's Baylor Scheierman dribbles past South Dakota's Boogie Anderson in a semifinal
South Dakota State's Baylor Scheierman dribbles past South Dakota's Boogie Anderson in a semifinal / Erin Woodiel / Argus Leader / USA TODAY
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One of the hottest team's in the country, South Dakota State, goes for a berth in the NCAA Tournament in the Summit League Tournament final against North Dakota State.

South Dakota State swept the season series against North Dakota State and are paced by one of the best offenses in the country, 11th in KenPom's adjusted offensive efficiency metric, and haven't lost since December 15th, going 18-0 in Summit play.

Can the Bison spring an upset? The team lost both games to SDSU by four points and will look to stun the Jackrabbits in the championship game. Here are the odds for this one from WynnBET Sportsbook:

North Dakota State vs. South Dakota State Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • North Dakota State: +6 (-110)
  • South Dakota State: -6 (-110)

Moenyline:

  • North Dakota: +200
  • South Dakota State: -250

Total: 150.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

North Dakota State vs. South Dakota State Prediction and Pick

South Dakota State is shaping up to be a true dark horse in the NCAA Tournament, but must take care of North Dakota State first.

While these two teams played close both times, I give the nod to them based on their offensive prowess, but I don't see much value on the spread. That being said, I have a play on the over.

Both games cruised over this listed total in the regular season, scoring 176 and 156 in the two games. The first game closed 152.5, and the second 154.5. While this game is on a neutral, I don't agree with this swift line move. Neither team generates turnovers, each outside the top 300 nationally, and both shoot over 77% from the charity stripe with the two highest free throw rates. I envision both offenses should be operate with maximum efficiency given the lack of turnovers being caused.

I don't see many stops in this one and I also like the idea of playing this over considering we can see a ton of fouls at the end as it's a win or go home game. I don't see the losing team punting this game late.

PICK: OVER 150.5, play to 152.5

All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 91-82-3 for +4.58 units.

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