Northwestern vs. Wisconsin Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 11

The Northwestern Wildcats have lost three games in a row, losing to the Iowa Hawkeyes on Saturday 17-12. Northwestern has been outscored 154-61 in their last five games.

The Wisconsin Badgers have won five games in a row, defeating the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in Week 10, 52-3. After scoring a season-high 52 points last week, the Badgers have scored at least 20 points in each of the five games during their winning streak.

Here are the odds for this Big Ten matchup, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Northwestern vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

• Northwestern +24 (-110)
• Wisconsin -24 (-110)

Moneyline:

• Northwestern +1000
• Wisconsin -2000

Total:

• 41 (Over -110/Under -110)

Northwestern vs. Wisconsin Betting Trends

• Northwestern is 3-6 against the spread this season.
• Wisconsin is 5-4 against the spread this season.
• The Under is 4-1 in the Wildcats’ last five games following a straight up loss.
• The Badgers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall.
• The Underdog is 4-0 against the spread in the last four meetings.
• The Under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.

Northwestern vs. Wisconsin Prediction and Pick

This game has the makings of a low scoring game, and while it’s possible for Wisconsin to cover the 24-point spread as favorites in a game that could be under 41 total points, I just find it much less likely. 

Wisconsin’s offense has come around as of late, especially last week when they scored 52 points, but for most of the year they have been mediocre at best on offense and I’m not sold. I don’t believe quarterback Graham Mertz turned a corner after throwing three touchdown passes against Rutgers. Prior to last week Mertz had just three touchdown passes all season and seven interceptions. That’s the quarterback that he really is.

Wisconsin’s ground game will move the ball well against Northwestern’s 125th-ranked rushing defense that is allowing 226.2 rushing yards per game. And Wisconsin’s defense will have no issue halting the Wildcats high school-caliber offense.

I think the Badgers are going to win, I just don’t see them putting up enough points to cover the 24-point spread.

Pick: Northwestern +24