Florida State covered the spread for the first time in 10 games with one of the wildest buzzer beaters you'll ever see in a win over Virginia its last time out. The 15-13 Seminoles hope to start a winning streak when they take on the 21-8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish tonight at 7:00 p.m. EST.
Notre Dame has won 11 of 13 and covered the spread in three straight while Florida State has rebounded from a six-game losing streak to win two of its last four.
Will the Seminoles build off the momentum from such an incredible win or will the Fighting Irish keep rolling?
Let's take a gander at the odds via WynnBET:
Notre Dame vs Florida State Odds, Spread and Total
- Notre Dame -2.5 (-110)
- Florida State +2.5 (-110)
- Notre Dame: -140
- Florida State: +115
- 139 (Over -110/Under -110)
Notre Dame vs Florida State Prediction and Pick
Florida State was down nine to Virginia with just over two minutes left before an absurd comeback propelled them to its second win in 10 games. Now we get Notre Dame as only a 2.5-point favorite? Oh, baby! This is my favorite play of the day and I'll take advantage of every chance I can to fade the Seminoles.
This line just makes no sense. The Fighting Irish are 13-4 ATS over their last 17 while Florida State had failed to cover in nine straight before that Virginia win.
Notre Dame has the 30th-best adjusted offensive efficiency in the country thanks to the 27th-highest three-point shooting percentage and should control the game from start-to-finish.
The Seminoles allow opponents to shoot 36.8% from beyond the arc, good for 320th nationally, so Notre Dame should rain three's from the heavens and I don't think the home team can keep up. Florida State is 215th in effective field goal percentage and 275th in defensive, and frankly I think name value is the only thing keeping this line so low.
Sometimes oddsmakers give us a gift and on this glorious Wednesday, they've done just that. Notre Dame has covered five straight on the road while Florida State has failed to cover in five straight at home.
Give me Notre Dame in a slam-dunk, auto-bet spot. Thank you oddsmakers for this generous present - I won't be returning it.
Pick: Notre Dame -2.5 (-110)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.