Notre Dame vs. Miami Prediction and Odds (Take the Over)

Miami Hurricanes guard Isaiah Wong.
Miami Hurricanes guard Isaiah Wong. / Ryan Hunt-USA TODAY Sports
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The Pittsburgh Panthers will travel to play the Wake Forest Demon Deacons at home, which has been a tall task for anyone this year. Wake Forest appears to have the upper hand, but by how much? 

Let’s start with the odds via WynnBET.

Notre Dame vs. Miami Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Notre Dame +4.5 (-110)
  • Miami -4.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Notre Dame +170
  • Miami -200

Total:

  • 141.5 (Over -115 | Under -105)

Notre Dame vs. Miami Prediction and Pick

This game looks like it could be closed, but it’s hard to play on the road in college basketball. Miami has a 9-2 record straight up at home, but the Hurricanes are only 5-6 against the spread on their home court. Miami is in the middle of the pack in adjusted tempo and adjust defensive efficiency, but it is strong on the offensive end. Miami is 19th in adjusted offensive efficiency, averaging 114.1 points per 100 minutes.

Both of these teams allow good efficiency from opposing shooters. Miami allows a 52.9% effective field goal percentage (298th), and Notre Dame allows 50.1% (187th). Both of these offenses look like they could be in positions to succeed, especially from 3. Notre Dame shoots it at a 36.7% clip from behind the arc, and Miami shoots it at 36.5%. Both teams struggle to defend from deep. 

The total has gone over in seven out of Miami’s 11 home games, and seven out of Notre Dame’s 11 road games. Both of these teams should be able to score, and the trends point towards this game hitting the over.

Pick: Over 141.5 (-115)

You can find all of Jon Helmkamp’s picks here.