Ohio State vs. Michigan Prediction and Odds (Bet Wolverines to Win at Home)

Feb 10, 2022; Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA; Michigan Wolverines guard DeVante' Jones (12) dribbles in
Feb 10, 2022; Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA; Michigan Wolverines guard DeVante' Jones (12) dribbles in / Rick Osentoski-USA TODAY Sports
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Michigan is starting to get hot at the right time, evident in the team's 25-point win at home against Purdue and now host rival Ohio State at home once again. Will they be able to hold their form against a motivated Ohio State team that will look to avenge a road loss earlier this week against Rutgers?

The Buckeyes blew a six point lead in the final two minutes in that one and will look to get back on track with what would be their best road win of the year.

Here are the odds for Saturday's Big Ten showdown, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Ohio State vs. Michigan Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Ohio State: +2.5 (-110)
  • Michigan: -2.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Ohio State: +115
  • Michigan: -140

Total: 140 (Over -110/Under -110)

Ohio State vs. Michigan Prediction and Pick

Before the season I went on record and thought Michigan had National Championship potential. While it's been a windy road for the Wolverines, we are at the least starting to see flashes of a dark horse NCAA Tournament team. I may have jumped the gun, and this team may be far from a legitimate threat, but I believe that Michigan's 24 point romp of Purdue at home was a sign of good things to come.

Some may be concerned of a potential letdown against Ohio State on Saturday night, but I'm not a believer in the Buckeyes, who are 127th in KenPom's adjusted defensive efficiency metric and have been getting by on the second highest mid-range shooting percentage in the country, per Haslemetrics.

EJ Liddel can pose some problems for the Michigan defense, but the Wolverines are dynamite at home, 91-63-2 ATS since 2005 in Big Ten play (h/t Stuckey from the Action Network). The Buckeyes have a middling defensive rebounding rate and I believe Dickinson can eat inside once again.

This line suggests that Ohio State is better on a neutral floor, which I'm not so sure of. If the Buckeyes are on from three, the team is second in Big Ten play in three point rate, all the power to them, but Michigan's defensive flaws come off the bounce not on catch-and-shoot three's.

Ohio State has won three road games all season against the bottom feeders of the Big Ten: Penn State, Nebraska (in overtime) and Minnesota, I don't see them getting one against an (at the very least) quality foe in rival Michigan.

PICK: Michigan -2, play to -3

All of Reed's college basketball plays can be tracked here, his best bets column for college basketball is 57-46-3 for +8.7 units.