Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 5

Oklahoma State's Spencer Sanders (3)
Oklahoma State's Spencer Sanders (3) / BRYAN TERRY/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY

It’s a big time matchup in the Big 12 with No. 9 Oklahoma State travels to Waco to take on No. 16 Baylor with the Cowboys at 3-0, but yet to face a true test and the Bears 3-1 with a tough loss to BYU on their record. Last year, Baylor knocked off Oklahoma State in the Big 12 championship game to keep it out of the playoff. 

Can Oklahoma State avenge their big loss this week?

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Odds, Spread and Total

Baylor and Oklahoma State Betting Trends

  • Baylor is 3-1 ATS this year
  • Oklahoma State is 2-1 ATS this year

Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Prediction and Pick

Blake Shapen is the sophomore quarterback for Baylor and a first year starter. He has been very solid in his four games, but against BYU he only threw for 137 yards and one touchdown. Shapen has thrown seven touchdowns to one pick this year and is completing 69% of his passes. They rely on the 26th ranked rushing offense to score and they are averaging over 200 rushing yards per game. 

Oklahoma State’s rushing defense is the 42nd best in the country so Baylor could move the ball on them. Oklahoma State is 70th in the country in total defense this year after playing two games against non-power 5 teams and one game against Arizona State who is in shambles and just fired Herm Edwards. That is very concerning considering it was a top-5 unit in the country a year ago and that was what led them to be the No. 5 team in the country leading into the Big 12 championship game. 

The unit I trust most is Oklahoma State’s offense led by Spencer Sanders, who has 10 touchdowns and nearly a thousand yards through three games. I can’t see this game finishing 21-16 like it did a year ago, I think it will be a classic Big 12 shootout. 

Pick: Over 56.5 (-110)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE