No. 9 Oklahoma State vs. No. 22 Kansas State Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 9

Oklahoma State Cowboys quarterback Spencer Sanders (3)
Oklahoma State Cowboys quarterback Spencer Sanders (3) / BRYAN TERRY/THE OKLAHOMAN / USA TODAY

The Big 12 keeps giving us great matchup after great matchup this season, and almost none of them include Texas or Oklahoma. Perhaps this conference will actually be in good hands when those two schools bolt for the SEC.

In Week 8, Oklahoma State handled Texas at home 41-34 last week to move to 6-1, and Kansas State nearly dropped undefeated TCU on the road before losing 38-28. The Horned Frogs mounted a major second half comeback, shutting out the Wildcats in the final 30 minutes without Adrian Martinez.

K-State could once again be without their quarterback this week, while Spencer Sanders has emerged as one of the best quarterbacks in college football. Let’s see what Vegas thinks about this ranked Big 12 showdown. 

Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread and Total

KSU and OK State Betting Trends

  • KSU is 4-2-1 ATS
  • OK State is 6-1 ATS
  • The over is 6-1 in OK State games
  • KSU is 4-1 in last five home games
  • Home team is 4-0 ATS in last four meetings

Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Prediction and Pick

This Oklahoma State team is right back to Mike Gundy’s old ways.

Last year they built up a very strong defense that nearly carried them to a Big 12 title and playoff appearance. This year, however, it's all offense.

The Cowboys, led by Spencer Sanders, have the fourth-ranked offense in points per game in the country. Sanders has thrown 15 touchdowns to four interceptions, 2,030 yards, and has run for 358 yards and eight more touchdowns. The concern is that he only completes 58.8% of his passes, but when you have 57 attempts like last week against Texas, you can still complete 34 of them for 391 yards. 

The defense for Oklahoma State is 86th in points per game and 117 in terms of yards allowed per game. Their passing defense is 127th out of the 131 teams in the country. Luckily for them, Kansas State relies primarily on their 11th ranked rushing offense for their yards. Deuce Vaughn is a focal point for this team offensively while Adrian Martinez has already eclipsed his rushing total from each of his last two years at Nebraska with 565 yards on the ground. Through the air he hasn’t even thrown for 1,000 yards yet this season to go along with only four passing touchdowns. 

Somebody is going to really exploit this Oklahoma State secondary the way that Max Duggan and TCU did, but it’s not going to be Kansas State. No matter who plays quarterback for K-State, they will have to run the ball. While Oklahoma State’s run defense is not good, it's far better than their secondary.

I’d expect a shootout and a Cowboys win, I’ll be on both the over and Oklahoma State.

PICK: Over 56.5 (-110) and Oklahoma State +110 (Best Parlay Odds: +301)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.