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Ole Miss vs. LSU Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 8

By Reed Wallach

Oct 15, 2022; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi Rebels wide receiver Dayton Wade (19) reacts
Oct 15, 2022; Oxford, Mississippi, USA; Mississippi Rebels wide receiver Dayton Wade (19) reacts / Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports
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Ole Miss has flown under the radar this season with a 7-0 record, but that could be due to a soft schedule to date. Only one team has been ranked this season against them when they welcomed Kentucky back on October 1.

Now, the Rebels get a true road test against a mercurial LSU team that is coming off of an impressive road win at Florida. It's been a volatile season for the Bayou Bengals in their first season under head coach Brian Kelly, but can they improve to 6-2 on the season while handing Ole Miss their first loss of the season?

We got you covered with a full betting preview for this SEC showdown, but let's first check out the odds:

Ole Miss vs. LSU Odds, Spread and Total

Ole Miss vs. LSU Betting Trends

  • LSU is 4-3 against the spread (ATS) this season, but 1-2 ATS as a favorite
  • Ole Miss is 2-0 ATS on the road this season
  • LSU is 2-5 to the OVER this season and has gone UNDER in all three games as a favorite

Ole Miss vs. LSU Prediction and Pick

LSU opened as small home underdogs but the market has moved the Tigers to small home favorites against the undefeated Rebels. However, I'm playing against that as I'm still concerned about this LSU roster.

Yes, beating Florida on the road is impressive, but the Gators are a middling SEC team. The defense couldn't slow down Jayden Daniels, but the Rebels are one of the finest defensive units in the country. Yes, it helps that they have played a softer schedule, but Ole miss is top 20 nationally in yards per play allowed, points allowed per drive and tackles for loss.

LSU struggled to move the ball against the better defense they have faced this season, including Florida State, Mississippi State and Tennessee. All three of those teams are elite pass rushing units on defense and Ole Miss is more similar to those groups than the Florida.

Lane Kiffin had an elite offense last season with Matt Corral, but Jaxson Dart has fallen short of (unfair) expectations. However, Kiffin has worked around a more limited Dart as the team rushes at a top 15 rate in the country and is top 10 in success rate. The fine play of Quinshon Judkins and Zach Evans has opened up the passing game for Dart, who is keeping the Rebels ahead of schedule with the 14th highest success rate in the country.

There are rightfully concerns about how real Ole Miss is at 7-0, but this line has shifted too far not to come back and play the Rebels, who are being penalized for beating the teams in front of them.

Keep in mind taking that taking +1.5 instead of an underdog moneyline gives you insurance if the hyper aggressive Kiffin decides to go for two late in the game and misses it.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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