Ons Jabeur vs. Aryna Sabalenka prediction and odds Wimbledon semifinals

Two top 10 women battle for a spot in the Wimbledon finals

Jul 8, 2023; London, United Kingdom; Ons Jabeur (TUN) returns a shot during her match against Bianca
Jul 8, 2023; London, United Kingdom; Ons Jabeur (TUN) returns a shot during her match against Bianca / Susan Mullane-USA TODAY Sports
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Ons Jabeur avenged her Wimbledon championship match lose to Elena Rybakina on Wednesday in a three set win, and now looks to return to the finals with a win against another top five foe.

Aryna Sabalenka made quick work of Madison Keys in 89 minutes to advance to a fourth consecutive grand slam semifinals in hopes of winning a second this year. The Australian Open champion is favored to advance to the finals, but Jabeur has had more success at the All England Club, can she pull another upset?

Here are the odds for the women's semifinals;

Ons Jabeur vs. Aryna Sabalenka odds, spread and total

Spread:

  • Jabeur: +2.5 (-110)
  • Sabalenka: -2.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Jabeur: +135
  • Sabalenka: -165

Total: 22.5 (Over +100/Under -125)

Ons Jabeur vs. Aryna Sabalenka prediction and pick

Sabalenka has won three of four matches against Jabeur, including at Wimbledon in the 2021 quarterfinals in straight sets.

However, Jabeur has taken a considerable leap since then, and I believe she has emerged as an elite returner that can handle Sabalenka's massive first serve.

After Rybakina won 32 of 33 Wimbledon service games heading into the quarterfinals, Jabeur broke her serve five times, an impressive 36% break percentage.

Sabalenka has been pumping her first serve and has been lightly challenged, facing only 14 break points through five matches, but if Jabeur is able to extend this match and generate break chances, she has the returning prowess to get ahead on the scoreboard.

This match will be tight, but I'm siding with the underdog.

PICK: Jabeur ML +135

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.