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Oregon State vs. Utah State Prediction and Odds for Los Angeles Bowl

By Matt De Saro

Oregon State's B.J. Baylor was the best RB in the Pac-12 and will cause some problems for the Utah State Aggies' defense.
Oregon State's B.J. Baylor was the best RB in the Pac-12 and will cause some problems for the Utah State Aggies' defense. / Chris Pietsch/The Register-Guard / USA
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This Saturday Night the first playing of the Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl goes down with the Utah State Aggies and Oregon State Beavers squaring off in Inglewood. 

Utah State enters this bowl game with a 10-3 record and a perfect mark away from home at 7-0. The offense is led by QB Logan Bonner who has amassed 3,560 yards with 36 touchdowns and 11 picks. Calvin Tyler Jr. handles the work out of the backfield and has posted 764 yards and six touchdowns on 170 total carries. The Aggies are coming off a huge victory over San Diego State in the Mountain West Conference Title Game and will look to bring that momentum into LA this weekend. 

Meanwhile, the Beavers finished sixth in the Pac-12, were nowhere near making it to the title game, and yet opened as seven-point favorites over the Aggies. Their offense is led by QB Chance Nolan who has 2,414 yards passing with 19 touchdowns and nine picks. 

Here are the odds for this Pac-12 matchup, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Oregon State vs. Utah State Spread and Over/Under

Spread:

  • Oregon State: -7 (-115) 
  • Utah State: +7 (-105)

Moneyline:

  • Oregon State: -285
  • Utah State: +225

Total:

  • 67 (Over -110/Under -110)

Oregon State vs. Utah State Betting Trends

  • The Aggies are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. 
  •  The Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a win. 
  • The Aggies are 6-1 in their last seven games on the road. 
  • The Aggies are 3-1 ATS in their last four non-conference games. 
  • The Beavers are 7-5 ATS in their last 12 games. 
  • The Beavers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games on the road. 
  • The Beavers are 4-3 ATS in their last seven games as betting favorites. 

Oregon State vs. Utah State Prediction and Pick

A major aspect of betting bowl games that is often overlooked is the motivation to win for each team. Despite being considered an honor, many players skip bowl games entirely or are checked out if they do play. Utah State might be in for a letdown game after winning the more important MWC title and could be just going through the motions in this game. 

On the other side of the coin, this is the Beavers’ first bowl game under the new coaching staff and with no conference championship, this is Beavers title game. I think that the Beavers get it done here as favorites on the back of RB B.J. Baylor who led the Pac-12 with 1,259 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns.

The offense relies heavily on Baylor and lost just one game when he went over 100 yards rushing. The Aggies haven’t had to deal with a back as good as Baylor and yet they allow 144.9 yards rushing per game. I think Baylor leads this team to a win and cover here as the Aggies have already played their “big game” and accomplished what they set out to accomplish with the MWC title game. 

Prediction: Oregon State -7.0 (-115)

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