Oregon vs. Oklahoma Updated Prediction and Odds for Alamo Bowl

Nov 29, 2021; Norman, OK, USA; Oklahoma Sooners interim head football coach Bob Stoops answer
Nov 29, 2021; Norman, OK, USA; Oklahoma Sooners interim head football coach Bob Stoops answer / Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports
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After being a beacon of consistency in college football, Oklahoma is hitting a transition period after head coach Lincoln Riley abruptly left the program to take the head coaching position at USC. The team welcomed back legendary coach Bob Stoops out of retirement to coach the team in the Alamo Bowl against Oregon.

All is not peachy with the Ducks either. They lost their head coach Mario Cristobal as well with Cristobal taking the job at Miami.

There are a ton of motivation questions surrounding this bowl game with two teams that faded out of the College Football Playoff picture in the final weeks, so let's try and make sense of it.

First, here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

Oregon vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread and Total

Spread:

  • Oregon: +6.5 (-110)
  • Oklahoma: -6.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Oregon: +210
  • Oklahoma: -260

Total: 61 (Over -110/Under -110)

Oklahoma vs. Oregon Betting Trends

  • Oregon went 5-8 ATS this season
  • Oklahoma was 4-6 ATS as favorites
  • Oregon went UNDER in 3 of 4 games as underdogs this season

Oregon vs. Oklahoma Prediction and Pick

This game has so many moving parts it's tough to really handicap, but I'm going to side with Bob Stoops rallying the troops in Norman, Oklahoma to get up for this game, and the market tends to agree with me.

After dipping as low as -3 during the lead up to this one, the Sooners have bounced back up to -6.5 with equal questions on the Oregon sidelines.

Oregon's interim coach, wide receivers coach Bryan McClendon, is making his coaching debut and was noncommittal about his future in Eugene after he was offered a post with Mario Cristobal at Miami. That's not a great look when trying to handicap the Ducks' motivation.

Again, there's a ton of questions here and we can throw out a good chunk of the on-field handicap. Oregon defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux, the potential No.1 NFL Draft pick in 2022, is sitting out of this bowl game. Oklahoma will be missing the likes of Nik Nonitto and Perrion Winfrey, key contributors on their defensive line that will surely be playing on Sunday's.

Overall, Oregon is reportedly missing 30 scholarship players for Wednesday night's matchup, while Oklahoma should have Caleb Williams under center for coach Stoops.

I wouldn't get too crazy in this game as there's more volatility than most, but I believe that coach Stoops came back to motivate this team and also to have some fun. Expect the Sooners offense to be loose and feature a ton of trick plays.

With the market moving closer to a touchdown, I'd rather take the OU's team total over 33.5 points.

PICK: Oklahoma TT Over 33.5