Oregon vs. Utah Prediction and Odds (Utes Have Value as a Home Underdog)
By Reed Wallach
Utah snapped a 10 game losing streak at home on Thursday and now will look to follow it up with a victory over the surging Oregon Ducks.
Oregon has erased a poor start to the season to win 7 of their last 8 games and are off a tough win at Colorado by double digits. Can they follow it up with a win against another PAC-12 foe on the road?
Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.
Oregon vs. Utah Odds, Spread and Total
Spread:
- Oregon: -4 (-110)
- Utah: +4 (-110)
Moneyline:
- Oregon: -180
- Utah: +150
Total: 140 (Over -110/Under -110)
Oregon vs. Utah Prediction and Pick
Oregon is humming right now on the offensive end, posting the best second offensive efficiency mark in PAC-12 play with the best three-point percentage, but Utah is a better perimeter defense than they are getting credit for.
After holding foes to a 30% three-point clip in non conference play, they are getting gashed from the perimeter in conference play, opponents are hitting on nearly 36% of their three-point shots. I believe they are due for some positive regression in that department and slow this game to a crawl. Utah plays at an adjusted tempo that is in the bottom third nationally.
Oregon could have tired legs playing at altitude for the second straight game this week, which can lead to a ton of missed jumpers. The Ducks do commit a ton of fouls, opponents are posting a near 31% free throw rate in conference play and Utah is hitting at a PAC-12 best 82% of their freebies in PAC-12 play.
I'm going to side with the home team to continue to bounce back, ShotQuality has them rated slightly better based on their shot profile and I can see this as a great sell high opportunity on Oregon, who is playing very well on offense, but also ripe for regression. Keep in mind the Ducks are outside the top 300 nationally in free throw percentage this season.
LEAN: Utah +4
You can find all of Reed's bets HERE!