Orioles vs. Reds Prediction and Odds for Friday, July 29 (Orioles Should Crush Mike Minor)

Baltimore's surge continues after winning three of four against the Rays. The Orioles are now 20-10 over their last 30 and find themselves in the thick of the Wild Card race.

Dean Kremer is expected to start today, but frankly, Baltimore could throw me up on the mound and I'd still look to back the O's. Why? Because it's Mike freakin' Minor day for Cincinnati.

Perhaps the best pitcher to fade in all of MLB, Minor has a 6.65 ERA and just gave up five runs while walking four batters against the Cardinals. Dating back to last season, Minor's team is 1-15 in his last 16 starts. No, that's not a typo.

Let's dive into this Orioles vs Reds matchup by first taking a peak at the consensus odds:

Orioles vs Reds Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

• Orioles -1.5 (+120)
• Reds +1.5 (-143)

Moneyline:

• Orioles: -132
• Reds: +114

Total:

• 9.5 (Over -114/Under -105)

Orioles vs Reds Prediction and Pick

Oh, what a beautiful day it is! Not only do we get to back one of the hottest teams in baseball in the Orioles, but we get to fade Mike Minor!

Minor is, in a word, horrible. He's in the third percentile in barrel percentage and fourth in expected slugging percentage with a 6.75 ERA at home.

Think of all the things that have happened in your life over the last calendar year. Perhaps you started a new job, maybe found a new lunch spot down the street you like, or even picked up a new hobby. Well, Minor has started 16 times in the that span and his team has lost 15 of them. At least the guy is consistent?

Baltimore is 15-5 over its last 20 games and is 6-2 in Dean Kremer's last eight outings. I like what I've seen from the 26-year-old righty, who sports a 1.66 ERA on the road. Just look at this filth:

That'll play! Baltimore has the better starter, lineup, defense, and bullpen. Look for the Orioles to win convincingly as Minor's disastrous year continues.

Pick: Orioles -1.5 (+120)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.