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Packers vs. Bengals: Odds, Spread, Over/Under and Prediction for NFL Week 5

By Reed Wallach

Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) looks to throw in the second half of the NFL football
Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow (9) looks to throw in the second half of the NFL football / Albert Cesare / The Enquirer / USA TODAY
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The Packers are winners of three straight, and now head to Cincinnati to take on the 3-1 Bengals. 

Cincy has some extra rest heading into this one after beating the Jaguars in the final seconds on Thursday Night Football. Can Joe Burrow continue the Bengals' resurgence? 

Here are the odds, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Packers vs. Bengals Odds

Spread

Packers: -3.5 (-110)

Bengals: +3.5 (-110)

Moneyline 

Packers: -170

Bengals: +150

Total: 49 (Over -110/Under -110)


Packers vs Bengals Betting Trends

  • The Packers are 25-15 ATS since 2019 under Matt LaFleur
  • In the same time, the Bengals are 17-19
  • Cincinnati is 15-20-1 to the UNDER with Zac Taylor as head coach, third highest under percentage in the league

Packers vs Bengals Prediction and Pick

The Packers have settled in after a 38-3 Week 1 loss, scoring at least 27 points in three straight games. The offense is humming with a great mix of rushing and passing success. Green Bay is inside the top 10 in offensive success rate, but they haven’t been explosive, 27th in explosive play rate. This has been a methodical, yet very promising offensive attack from Rodgers and head coach Matt LaFleur. 

On the other side, Joe Burrow has looked great since coming back off of a torn ACL that shut down his rookie season. He’s completing nearly 73% of his passes and is carving up defenses with his favorite target from LSU, Ja’Marr Chase. Chase is the second choice for Offensive Rookie of the Year, hauling in 17 catches for 297 yards and four touchdowns.

With some extra rest after playing last Thursday, this gives Burrow and head coach Zac Taylor time to prepare for a middling Packers defense that may be down their best secondary player, cornerback Jaire Alexander. Alexander injured his shoulder in Sunday’s win over the Steelers; Lafleur said that the Packers are still evaluating the injury and the team won’t have an update until Wednesday, but the early reports aren’t promising. 

Green Bay has also been down their No. 2 corner Kevin King, who has missed the last two games with a concussion. Even if King returns, the loss of Alexander is going to be a tough blow against a Bengals team that is operating at a high level in the passing game. Don't forget starting linebacker Za'Darius Smith is on injured reserve.

While I do lean with the Bengals as home underdogs, I’m more interested in the total given the injuries to the Green Bay defense and Rodgers’ fine play over the last several weeks. I like this over up to 50.5. 

Pick: Over 49

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