Packers vs. Bills Prediction: Don't Write Off Green Bay Just Yet

The Green Bay Packers and Buffalo Bills face-off on Sunday Night Football in Week 8, in what many would have considered a potential Super Bowl preview just a few months ago.

Now, the Packers have lost three-straight games and are double-digit underdogs to the Bills. It's the first time in Aaron Rodgers' career he enters a game as an underdog by 10 or more points.

Let's dive into the latest odds for the game, and then I'll give you my best bet,

Packers vs. Bills Odds, Spread, and Total

Packers vs. Bills Odds, Spread, and Total Movement

The spread opened at Bills -10.5, then moved to -11 for a period of time, but it has moved back down to the original line of -10.5. The total dropped one points from 47.5 to 26.5.

Packers vs. Bills Prediction and Pick

For me to lay double-digit points on a team, I need the team they're playing against to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. That's not the case for the Packers. Despite losing three-straight, Green Bay isn't a bottom 10 team in the league.

The Packers rank 17th in yards per play and 12th in opponent yards per play. Those numbers certainly aren't great, but they aren't terrible either. They're a completely average team, and I have no interest in laying double-digit points in a game involving an average team.

Green Bay has a couple of bright spots, especially on the defensive side of the football. It ranks third in opponent third down conversion rate, sixth in opponent red zone touchdown scoring percentage, and ninth in sack percentage.

Let's also not forget that their quarterback is the back-to-back NFL MVP.

I'll take the points with the Packers on Sunday Night Football.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.