Packers vs. Chiefs Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for NFL Preseason Week 3 (Chiefs Overwhelm Green Bay)

Tayon Fleet-Davis runs for a touchdown in Kansas City's win over Washington
Tayon Fleet-Davis runs for a touchdown in Kansas City's win over Washington / Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
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We've been waiting years for a showdown between Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes. After Rodgers' vaccination status prevented him from playing in last year's regular season game and Mahomes' injury prevented it the year prior, we'll have to wait a bit longer even though the franchises square off in NFL Preseason Week 3.

The Green Bay Packers snapped a four-game preseason losing streak in last week's win over the Saints, while the Kansas City Chiefs' first-teamers looked stellar for the second week in a row with a win over the Commanders.

As likely the last preseason matchup that any starters will participate in, where does the value lie?

Let's check out the consensus odds and some trends before jumping into this Packers vs Chiefs battle:

Packers vs Chiefs Odds, Spread and Total

Spread

  • Packers +1.5 (-110)
  • Chiefs -1.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • Packers: +105
  • Chiefs: -125

Total:

  • 39.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Packers vs Chiefs Betting Trends

Packers

  • 3-8 ATS last 11 preseason games
  • OVER is 7-3 last 10 preseason games
  • 0-6-1 last seven preseason games as underdogs

Chiefs

  • 3-5 ATS last eight preseason games
  • UNDER is 6-2 last eight preseason games
  • 2-4 ATS last six preseason games as favorites

Packers vs Chiefs Prediction and Pick

The way I'm viewing each Chiefs' preseason game is simple: the first-teamers are incredible and will likely build an early lead. Thus, at the least, we should get a good live line in the second half on the other team. In a situation like this though, when I'm betting before the game, I'm going to always take Kansas City.

Patrick Mahomes has played three drives thus far. The Chiefs have scored a touchdown each time.

Kansas City's all-universe quarterback looks ready to set the league on fire once again, and I'd recommend getting those MVP bets in over at WynnBET Sportsbook before it's too late.

Green Bay is historically terrible as an underdog in the preseason under Head Coach Matt LaFleur, and with how good the Chiefs' starters look, I'm banking on that trend to continue. Roll with Kansas City as Jordan Love remains overwhelmed for the Packers.

Pick: Chiefs -1.5 (-110)


Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.