Padres vs. Braves Prediction and Odds for Sunday, May 15 (Back Padres on Road with Musgrove on the Mound)
By Reed Wallach
We are in for a pitcher's duel on Sunday.
The San Diego Padres look to a wrap up a visit to Truist Park in winning fashion against the Atlanta Braves with a pair of studs taking the mound. Joe Musgrove draws the start for the visitors against emerging star Kyle Wright of the Braves.
Wright is one of the quiet stars of the 2022 MLB season, looking to get the Braves back on track after a slow start to the season. How will Atlanta handle the talented Musgrove? Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook:
Padres vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Total
Run Line:
- Padres: +1.5 (-210)
- Braves: -1.5 (+175)
Moneyline:
- Padres: -105
- Braves: -115
Total: 8.5 (Over -105/Under -115)
Padres vs. Braves Prediction and Pick
Musgrove has been elite in 2022, posting the best walk rate in baseball, just 3 BB's in 39 innings this season, while posting a 2.08 ERA. He will now face a struggling Braves lineup that can't get on track to start the season which has led to a 15-18 record. The team is bottom 10 in batting average and bottom half in wRC+, meaning they aren't putting runners on the bases to drive in runs.
The Braves offensive struggles have been well documented, but Wright has emerged as a star for what has been an impressive rotation thus far. He is pitching to just about a 3.00 ERA and has seen his walk rate down from his career marks, but that number is trending in the wrong direction after his last two starts. He has allowed 9 runs in his last 2 outings, up from 3 total runs in his first 4 starts of the year.
The Padres have a more than capable offense, fifth in on-base percentage this season, and the better pitcher on the mound that looks to be as elite as advertised. I'll take the better team at a slight underdog price.
LEAN: Padres -105