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Padres vs. Rockies Prediction and Odds for Saturday, June 18 (Count on Colorado as Home Underdogs Yet Again)

By Reed Wallach

Jun 17, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies designated hitter Charlie Blackmon (19)
Jun 17, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Colorado Rockies designated hitter Charlie Blackmon (19) / Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports
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The Rockies got off to a hot start in Friday's series opening win against the San Diego Padres, and will look to carry it over to another win on Saturday night.

Colorado will look to get a better performance at home from ace German Marquez, who has struggled a ton at Coors Field in 2022. However, the team may be under priced given how they have performed on offense this season at home. Here's some of the key stats we are looking at to bet on this NL West matchup.

Odds courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Total

Run Line:

  • Padres: -1.5 (+120)
  • Rockies: +1.5 (-135)

Moneyline:

  • Padres: -117
  • Rockies: -105

Total: 11.5 (Over -115/Under -105)

Padres vs. Rockies Prediction and Pick

The Rockies take full advantage of their favorable hitting conditions at home, boasting the second best OPS in baseball at home in 2022. The likes of C.J. Cron have used their power to generate a ton of production for this Colorado offense, which was on full display on Friday night as Cron went deep twice as Colorado shelled NL Rookie of the Year favorite MacKenize Gore.

Now, they will face back end start Nick Martinez, who has been fine this season, sporting a 3.74 ERA in nine starts. But, he could be a regression candidate given his FIP is nearly a run higher at 4.40 and has a high strand rate of 82%. At a hitter friendly Coors Field, Martinez can get in trouble early if the Rockies bats are on their game after scoring 10 runs on Friday night.

On the other side, Marquez has had issues all season, but there can be some good times ahead. He has an ERA north of 6.00, but his FIP sits at 4.94. He has very similar numbers as to last season but just getting some poor luck in the field, allowing more than 10 hits per 9 innings. I'm going to bank on him getting some run support and holding down the Padres lineup on Saturday as a home underdog.

LEAN: Rockies ML (-105)

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