Padres vs. Tigers Prediction and Odds for Monday, July 25 (Neither Pitcher Inspires Confidence in Detroit)
By Joe Summers
The Detroit Tigers bring a three-game losing streak into today's series opener with the San Diego Padres, dropping those contests by a combined score of 22-5. They'll send Drew Hutchison to the mound for his sixth start of the campaign.
Hutchison has a 3.94 ERA this month, though the Tigers have won each of his last two home starts.
San Diego turns to Sean Manaea, who has struggled in July with a 5.17 ERA. Still, the Padres are 7-3 in his last 10 outings and he's thrown a quality start in four of his last five appearances.
Where does the value lie in this Padres vs Tigers matchup? Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help find out:
Padres vs Tigers Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Padres -1.5 (+105)
- Tigers +1.5 (-125)
Moneyline:
- Padres: -155
- Tigers: +145
Total:
- 8.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Padres vs Tigers Prediction and Pick
I'm conflicted with this game. On one hand, San Diego has been dreadful as a road favorite, losing seven of nine. The Tigers are 6-2 in their last eight as home underdogs and rank 14th in OPS against left-handed pitchers over the last three weeks, so they should be able to score against an underwhelming arm like Sean Manaea.
On the other hand, Drew Hutchison is a bit of a disaster. I'll admit, he did limit each opponent to three runs or fewer in his starts prior to giving up four to the Guardians last week. But his underlying metrics are concerning. Just look at Hutchison's MLB Statcast Pitching Profile:
As much as I'd love to pick Detroit, I don't have enough faith in Hutchison. Thus, I'll look to the over instead. Neither pitcher can be trusted and we've got favorable weather conditions in store. The over is 10-3-1 in Manaea's last 14 starts, 3-1 in Hutchison's last four, and 4-0 in the TIgers' last four as home underdogs.
Especially with each bullpen struggling, I think we've got great value with this number. Look for both lineups to enjoy success to kick off the week.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-110)
Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.