Panthers vs. Ravens Prediction: Ravens' Home ATS Record Gives Panthers Value

Carolina Panthers running back D'Onta Foreman (33)
Carolina Panthers running back D'Onta Foreman (33) / Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports
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The Baltimore Ravens are 6-3, and on top of the AFC North. They were on their bye in Week 10 and they look like they might be in the top tier of AFC Contenders now. This is the team on the rise at home, well rested off their bye week, but Vegas has accounted for all of it with a massive spread. The Carolina Panthers are going back to Baker Mayfield at quarterback with PJ Walker injured, so maybe the former No. 1 pick has something to prove against a former division rival. 

Panthers vs. Ravens Odds, Spread and Total

Panthers vs. Ravens Odds, Spread and Total Movement in NFL Week 11

There has been an insane amount of movement on this line. The spread opened at 5.5 and ballooned all the way up to 13. The total has also gone down from 44 to 41.5. 

Panthers vs. Ravens Prediction and Pick

The Ravens are at home in Baltimore, but that isn’t a very good thing for John Harbaugh’s team. They are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five home games. The Panthers are also coming off a mini-bye after playing on Thursday in Week 10. That game could be really instructive for this one. 

The Panthers got a 25-15 win over the Falcons, who are essentially the dollar store version of the Ravens, at least on offense. Marcus Mariota is a running quarterback, but isn’t even in the same conversation as Lamar Jackson, and their running game is more under center and out of the pistol, but the Falcons still a run first team. The Panthers limited them to 138 rush yards, which seems like a lot, but the Falcons average 160.4 rush yards per game. The Ravens average 168.1 yards on the ground. 

I think the game plan will carry over and the Ravens don’t have the weapons outside to really blow teams out consistently. Last time we saw the Ravens, it was a 27-13 win over the Saints that certainly felt dominant, but would still barely cover this spread. 

Pick: Panthers +13 (-105)

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change