Patrick Mahomes Prop Bets vs. Packers: Fade Mahomes in Week 9
By Thomas Snodgrass
To say that Patrick Mahomes has struggled this season would be an understatement. He’s already thrown 10 interceptions, closing in on his career-high of 12 already, and has averaged a career-low 7.29 yards per attempt. Something’s not right in Kansas City.
In Week 9, Mahomes will attempt to read a Green Bay Packers defense that is sixth in the NFL in passing yards against, allowing just 216.8 yards through the air per contest.
WynnBET Sportsbook has set Patrick Mahomes’ passing yards prop at 296.5 yards (Over: -125/Under: -115) and his passing touchdowns prop at 2.5 (Over: +120/Under: -165).
The heavily favored under on Mahomes’ 2.5 passing touchdowns prop makes sense. After allowing Jameis Winston to throw for five touchdown passes in Week 1, the Packers have not allowed a single quarterback to throw for three touchdowns against them. As for the 296.5 yards Mahomes would need to reach to hit the over, not one quarterback has thrown for at least 297 yards against Green Bay this season.
Andy Reid’s offense is still working out a few kinks. Some people believe that Mahomes’ is having mechanical issues in the pocket, and offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy has even said that “You don’t want guys going into games playing paranoid or playing afraid”; Mahomes career-low yards per attempt is a potential result of this.
With Jordan Love starting on the opposite side for Green Bay, I wouldn't be surprised to see a heavy dose of Darrell Williams and Derrick Gore. The Chiefs backfield could potentially move the ball easier on the ground against a Packers' defense that is middle of the pack on rushing defense. Kansas City could simultaneously kill the clock and take pressure off Mahomes.
WynnBET has set Mahomes’ interceptions prop at 0.5 (Over +130/Under -160), and after the way this season has unfolded, the over on the interceptions prop feels like the most intriguing bet to make.