Patriots vs. Packers Best Prop Bets for NFL Week 4 (Back the Ground Game and Fade Rodgers)

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers went up against Tom Brady last week and now they get to go head-to-head with his former team. Bill Belichick and New England head over to Green Bay likely without Mac Jones. There are some great opportunities for prop bets in this one, so I’ve done some digging and these are my findings. 

Best Prop Bets for Patriots vs. Packers

• Rhamondre Stevenson Over 45.5 Rushing Yards
• Robert Tonyan Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
• Aaron Rodgers Under 228.5 Passing Yards

Rhamondre Stevenson Over 45.5 Rushing Yards

This game will be won on the ground because that is the weakness of these two defenses. The Packers allow 4.9 yards per carry and Stevenson has been emerging as the lead back for the Patriots. He is more dynamic than Damien Harris and last week had 32 more yards than Harris on just one more carry. Mac Jones will be out and the Patriots will have to give the ball to Stevenson and see if he can do enough to move the chains.

Robert Tonyan Over 25.5 Receiving Yards

Tonyan is still recovering from a knee injury last season. In the first game of the year, Tonyan only played on 36% of the team's offensive snaps. Week 2 that number went up to 40%, and then last week it made a big jump to 58% of the snaps. Tonyan had six catches for 37 yards and is clearly a target that Rodgers trusts. 

Aaron Rodgers Under 232.5 Passing Yards

Like I said, this game is going to won on the ground. The Packers allowed 4.9 yards per carry, but the Patriots allow 4.8. That means Rodgers will be content to hand it off and only throw when he needs to. I think Green Bay can win this one easily so there won’t be much of a reason for Rodgers to throw for over 200 yards. 

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