Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, June 8 (Back Milwaukee as Home Underdog)
By Peter Dewey
The Milwaukee Brewers are in the midst of a rough slump, losing four straight and six of their last 10 heading into Wednesday’s matchup with the surging Philadelphia Phillies.
Maybe firing Joe Girardi was the spark this team needed, as the Phils have won five straight and are just three games below .500 on the season.
Aaron Nola (3-4, 3.92 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies on Wednesday, and he will match up with Milwaukee’s Adrian Houser (3-5, 3.51 ERA).
Both of these pitchers have solid Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) numbers this season, so where should we look for value when betting?
Here are the odds for this game via WynnBET:
Phillies vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line and Total
Run Line:
- Phillies -1.5 (+120)
- Brewers +1.5 (-145)
Moneyline:
- Phillies: -125
- Brewers: +115
Total:
- 8 (Over -110/Under -110)
Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction and Pick
This is the first time all season that Milwaukee has been an underdog at home, and I think it’s time to jump on the Brewers to win this game at +115 odds.
The Phillies have been rolling as of late, but they haven’t been great with Nola on the mound this season, going just 3-8 in his 11 starts. Part of that is the bullpen struggling, but the Phillies have also struggled to give him run support, scoring four or fewer runs in seven of his 11 outings.
Houser, despite his record, has been solid this season. He has allowed three or fewer runs in all but two of his starts this season, and he has allowed one or fewer earned runs in three of his last four starts.
I think the Brewers are due for a win, and I’m willing to fade Nola given how suspect the Phillies’ bullpen has been for multiple years now.
Lean: Brewers Moneyline (+115)
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.