Phillies vs. Padres Prediction and Pick for Friday, June 24 (Nola Continues Dominant Stretch)

The Phillies have five straight wins behind Aaron Nola as they take on the Padres tonight
The Phillies have five straight wins behind Aaron Nola as they take on the Padres tonight / Mitchell Layton/GettyImages

The 37-34 Philadelphia Phillies snapped a three-game losing streak with an impressive win over Joe Musgrove and the 44-28 San Diego Padres.

They hope for a similar result tonight at 9:40 PM EST with Aaron Nola taking on MacKenzie Gore. Philly has won five straight wins behind Nola as he's allowed just two runs total in his last three starts, spanning 23 innings.

Gore, on the other hand, gave up 14 runs over his last 6.1 innings as the Rockies destroyed him in back-to-back games.

Can Gore bounce back and take down Nola or will the visitors open up a commanding series lead?

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help pick a winner in this Phillies vs Padres matchup:

Phillies vs Padres Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Phillies: -1.5 (+140)
  • Padres: +1.5 (-170)


  • Phillies: -123
  • Padres: +113


  • 7 (Over -115/Under -105)

Phillies vs Padres Prediction and Pick

In eight appearances during April and May, MacKenzie Gore allowed eight runs total. In four innings against the Rockies last week, he gave up another eight.

Gore has a disastrous 10.22 ERA in June, having issued 10 walks in just 12.1 innings. Now, he takes on a Phillies team that has a 16-5 record and the eighth-best OPS this month. As a cherry on top, Aaron Nola regained his dominant form and once again looks like one of MLB's best pitchers.

Nola has a 2.25 road ERA as the Phillies have five straight wins behind him. The Padres, reeling after the loss of Manny Machado to injury, scored four or fewer runs in six of their last seven games and I don't see how their struggling lineup gets to Nola in this one. San Diego is a pathetic 2-9 in their last 11 as home underdogs, averaging 2.72 runs per game in that stretch.

Philadelphia, meanwhile, averages the fourth-most walks per game on the road and should take advantage of Gore's poor command. They're 9-4 over their last 13 as road favorites, with seven wins coming by multiple runs.

With Nola dominating and the Padres sputtering, the Philly run line is oozing with value. Joe Musgrove was supposed to be the San Diego starter that no one could beat, but Bryce Harper & company did that anyway. Games like last night are a gut punch, and I don't see the Padres bouncing back.

Pick: Phillies -1.5 (+140)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.