Phillies vs. Padres Prediction and Odds for Sunday, June 26 (Go Under in Yu Darvish Starts at Home)

San Diego Padres starting pitcher Yu Darvish has a 1.34 ERA at Petco Park this season, going 6-0 in unders since the start of the season.
San Diego Padres starting pitcher Yu Darvish has a 1.34 ERA at Petco Park this season, going 6-0 in unders since the start of the season. / Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports
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The Philadelphia Phillies won't have their best hitter in the lineup for the foreseeable future.

Slugger Bryce Harper fractured his thumb after being hit by a Blake Snell pitch in the fourth inning of Saturday's 4-2 victory at Petco Park against the San Diego Padres. Harper was visibly upset after suffering the injury and is out indefinitely.

The loss of Harper is catastrophic for a Philly team that's turned their season around since the firing of manager Joe Girardi. Back on June 2, the Phillies were 22-29 with a +1 run differential. Heading into Sunday, they're 38-35 with a +32 run differential, going 16-6 over their last 22 games.

They'll turn to Kyle Gibson for the rubber match of the series this afternoon against Padres' ace Yu Darvish, who has been spectacular at home.

Here are the latest odds for today's National League battle over at WynnBET Sportsbook.

Phillies vs. Padres Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Phillies +1.5 (-170)
  • Padres -1.5 (+140)

Moneyline:

  • Phillies +137
  • Padres -147

Total:

  • 7.5 (OVER -110 | UNDER -110)

Phillies vs. Padres Prediction and Pick

The Phillies have an incredibly difficult task at hand against Yu Darvish at Petco Park this afternoon.

The veteran right-hander has been sensational in his home ballpark, pitching to a 1.34 ERA in 40.1 innings this season. Hitters are hitting just .140 against Darvish in San Diego, and he's given up six total earned runs all year at Petco. SIX!

The 35-year old has also improved as the season's gone on. His 2.12 ERA in the month of June is more than two full runs lower than what it was in April (4.44), and just under a full run lower than in May (3.08).

As for Gibson, the right-hander has been terrific over his last three starts; pitching 20.1 innings while allowing just seven earned runs. He's struck out 14 and walked just three.

I lean on the Padres to get the win at home, but I'll pick the under 7.5 as the Padres have gone 6-0 in unders so far at home this season when he starts.

PICK: UNDER 7.5 (-110)


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